Champions League · resolved market
Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d3a28e8e083e1ff9ff8afd5f8e0b9f9e2f925cf96087ce31ab73f78b0e501a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 59c | 6,597$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.41 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Over | 80c | 3,709$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 3,002$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.97 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 21c | 1,776$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 1,720$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.35 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 1,595$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.08 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…c236backed Over | 26c | 1,558$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 20c | 1,523$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.38 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Under | 50c | 1,298$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 38c | 1,294$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.39 | 269 | 31.6%85 W · 184 L | -22.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 79c | 1,062$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.98 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 5c | 1,049$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 80c | 1,024$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 309 | 49.8%154 W · 155 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 40c | 934.51$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.75 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 74c | 686.11$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.39 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 2c | 666.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 21c | 656$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 21c | 605.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.22 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Over | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 21c | 313$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…b80fbacked Over | 58c | 309.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 76c | 299.92$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 79c | 298$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 20c | 238.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.06 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Over | 21c | 202.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 190.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 79c | 157.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 195 | 35.9%70 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 72c | 143.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 114.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Over | 11c | 104.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 100.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 51c | 93.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 52c | 88.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 52c | 88.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…e26dbacked Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 79c | 72.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 68.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…6de9backed Over | 28c | 65.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2e…0b95backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 79c | 43.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Over | 50c | 43.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 80c | 35.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 63c | 31.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 80c | 24.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…7d35backed Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 0.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Team to AdvanceViking FK won
- Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Viking FK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.