Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d6d6328f3d244feff0292c3c67a2af62892ec9c516673a50b9b6c4d0437f3c6

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Wagner Seahawksof Wagner Seahawks, Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,175 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	66c	3,777$2,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,477.22	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Wagner Seahawks	37c	2,846$1,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,791.09	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	63c	2,223$1,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.06	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	63c	1,939$1,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,221.66	898	50%449 W · 449 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	66c	1,802$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.12	1,058	55.8%590 W · 468 L	+34.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	64c	1,510$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.99	1,511	47.8%722 W · 789 L	-35.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Wagner Seahawks	37c	1,340$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.41	248	47.6%118 W · 130 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wagner Seahawks	35c	1,205$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.15	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Wagner Seahawks	34c	1,176$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.24	555	32.8%182 W · 373 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	62c	1,090$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.99	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa382…ed19backed Wagner Seahawks	36c	800$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Wagner Seahawks	34c	703.37$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.23	558	40.3%225 W · 333 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wagner Seahawks	33c	686.63$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.75	1,540	41.3%636 W · 904 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Wagner Seahawks	29c	683.37$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.81	434	50%217 W · 217 L	+13.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	32c	671.2$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.73	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wagner Seahawks	37c	662.05$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.09	841	47.4%399 W · 442 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Wagner Seahawks	60c	449.47$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.32	497	47.5%236 W · 261 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	59c	447.12$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.46	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Wagner Seahawks	67c	408.72$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.65	614	46.1%283 W · 331 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Wagner Seahawks	35c	399.72$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.41	815	28.8%235 W · 580 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	55c	394.24$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.8	771	42.3%326 W · 445 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wagner Seahawks	41c	356.05$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.19	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wagner Seahawks	34c	300$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Wagner Seahawks	37c	277.72$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.96	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Wagner Seahawks	36c	221.61$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.61	621	40.4%251 W · 370 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wagner Seahawks	56c	213.04$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.11	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Wagner Seahawks	35c	199.99$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	1,317	33.6%443 W · 874 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Wagner Seahawks	37c	199.83$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.89	2,194	33.4%733 W · 1,461 L	+19.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Wagner Seahawks	37c	194.4$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.47	247	37.7%93 W · 154 L	+13.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	33c	130.02$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.47	1,493	48.7%727 W · 766 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wagner Seahawks	40c	127.85$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.15	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	65c	110.26$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.36	491	57.2%281 W · 210 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Wagner Seahawks	36c	109.2$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.69	573	35.6%204 W · 369 L	-27.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Wagner Seahawks	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.5	167	55.7%93 W · 74 L	+10.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	127	48.8%62 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Wagner Seahawks	65c	97.96$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.29	131	41.2%54 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	66c	95.28$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.89	1,397	52.7%736 W · 661 L	+26.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	26c	91.95$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.53	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x523c…5348backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	38c	84.58$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.14	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	38c	84.29$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.03	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	31c	82.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.46	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	40c	79.07$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.33	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	65c	77.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.34	94	70.2%66 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	67c	74.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.61	144	48.6%70 W · 74 L	-12.5wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	16c	64.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.27	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	65c	63.49$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.09	208	34.6%72 W · 136 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Wagner Seahawks	27c	63$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.99	270	48.1%130 W · 140 L	+12.8wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Wagner Seahawks	27c	59.62$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.52	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	29c	57.21$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.69	934	47.9%447 W · 487 L	-19.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Wagner Seahawks	36c	55.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.73	309	45.6%141 W · 168 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Wagner Seahawks	39c	54.68$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Wagner Seahawks	37c	53.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.78	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	45c	49.57$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	26c	46.48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	195	22.1%43 W · 152 L	-36.3wins	-0.19per pick	41cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Wagner Seahawks	37c	32.28$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.33	161	40.4%65 W · 96 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Wagner Seahawks	35c	30.58$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.78	70	31.4%22 W · 48 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Wagner Seahawks	34c	30.16$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.91	216	46.8%101 W · 115 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c49…50e2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	66c	30.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.84	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.9wins	-0.24per pick	62cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	65c	29.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	179	45.8%82 W · 97 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	63c	23.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	299	54.2%162 W · 137 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Wagner Seahawks	72c	20.69$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.79	523	53.5%280 W · 243 L	-17.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	58c	19.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.59	646	58.8%380 W · 266 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa771…c2c1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	66c	18.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.91	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.22per pick	59cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsthis page
Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-4.5)Wagner Seahawks won
Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-5.5)Wagner Seahawks won
Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 138.5Under won
Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 139.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event