Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1def9ad707fa5b976ddc1250f4d719ab340b2a87a431a3e1863e950f5b93d419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern Wildcatsof Northwestern Wildcats, Indiana Hoosiers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Indiana Hoosiers | 54c | 2,586$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.79 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 76c | 1,611$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.07 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 62c | 1,334$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.56 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Indiana Hoosiers | 66c | 1,214$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.03 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Northwestern Wildcats | 58c | 938.93$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.35 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Northwestern Wildcats | 56c | 905.24$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 14c | 860.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.32 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 80c | 805.15$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.12 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 785.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Indiana Hoosiers | 29c | 757.5$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.16 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 732.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.06 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 632.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.13 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 18c | 613.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 73c | 572.54$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana Hoosiers | 7c | 570.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northwestern Wildcats | 18c | 499.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.98 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 25c | 499.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 36c | 448.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 33c | 444.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 60c | 412.43$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.07 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 20c | 399.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.78 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Northwestern Wildcats | 20c | 389.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.97 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Indiana Hoosiers | 22c | 372$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Indiana Hoosiers | 31c | 319.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 318.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.21 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 15c | 298.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.13 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 298.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.69 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…4eb0backed Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 272.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Indiana Hoosiers | 75c | 262.36$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Northwestern Wildcats | 71c | 257.9$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Indiana Hoosiers | 29c | 251.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 229.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.49 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Northwestern Wildcats | 62c | 204.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Indiana Hoosiers | 65c | 185.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northwestern Wildcats | 71c | 167.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Northwestern Wildcats | 60c | 165.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana Hoosiers | 34c | 160.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 141.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…2750backed Northwestern Wildcats | 18c | 138.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northwestern Wildcats | 59c | 131.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Indiana Hoosiers | 61c | 126.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 99.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Indiana Hoosiers | 80c | 95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 81.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Northwestern Wildcats | 17c | 76.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 75.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 36c | 73.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Northwestern Wildcats | 20c | 67.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Northwestern Wildcats | 56c | 63.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…faefbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 59.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 39cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 29c | 58.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Indiana Hoosiers | 80c | 58.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…c83cbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 56.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Northwestern Wildcats | 27c | 51.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Northwestern Wildcats | 27c | 51.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Northwestern Wildcats | 33c | 37.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 74c | 27.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Indiana Hoosiers | 80c | 14.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Indiana Hoosiers | 80c | 13.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Indiana Hoosiers | 80c | 12.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiersthis page
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-8.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.