South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e0d49fd1b19a0ea9a5461e954a2b4f01cf19ce8ab1ef453c94f4220a50140a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 1,358$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.98 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 859.85$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 64c | 681.74$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 11c | 426.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 35c | 288.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 253.01$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked No | 71c | 239.57$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 40c | 185$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 64c | 161.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 155.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 64c | 120.46$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 117.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 28c | 115.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 35c | 93.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 79.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 72c | 68.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 36c | 52.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 64c | 37.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 36.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: Independiente Santa Fe O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: Independiente Santa Fe O/U 2.5Under won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Caracas FC (-2.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
- Spread: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
- Spread: Independiente Santa Fe (-2.5)Caracas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.