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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Detonate vs NuTorious (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NuToriousof Detonate, NuTorious
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb51…d2f5backed NuTorious68c2,354$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.342958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed NuTorious68c1,853$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.941,71053.2%909 W · 801 L+65.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Detonate32c1,741$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.1223740.9%97 W · 140 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Detonate32c1,301$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.3259134.7%205 W · 386 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed NuTorious67c1,226$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.4586758.1%504 W · 363 L+59.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Detonate32c974.26$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.738634.9%30 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed NuTorious68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24010452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed NuTorious68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1924652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed Detonate33c574.41$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.452548%12 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Detonate25c504.33$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.373,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0146…4d51backed Detonate32c367$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.444850%24 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Detonate27c353.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4951756.3%291 W · 226 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Detonate32c330.66$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8149639.3%195 W · 301 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Detonate37c313.58$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.853,37545.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L-84.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Detonate32c309$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.56946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Detonate32c301.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.510742.1%45 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Detonate32c297.26$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.111747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf953…2f1abacked Detonate31c236.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.671330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Detonate33c234.03$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed NuTorious70c232.76$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.547852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed NuTorious66c219.81$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7452155.1%287 W · 234 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed NuTorious70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2942555.3%235 W · 190 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked Detonate33c209.28$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.966836.8%25 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Detonate35c204.96$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1259039.3%232 W · 358 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Detonate22c200$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.475431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed NuTorious57c196.63$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Detonate30c168.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.946750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x773f…cffabacked Detonate33c150.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd22…bb29backed NuTorious70c149.26$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.781450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed NuTorious79c147.35$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9745875.8%347 W · 111 L+25.4wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd246…2f84backed NuTorious70c125.46$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.844100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Detonate30c124.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.411,62929.8%485 W · 1,144 L-90.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed NuTorious68c123.68$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5866554.1%360 W · 305 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9266…a9d3backed NuTorious66c118$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1211160.4%67 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed NuTorious68c117$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4426334.6%91 W · 172 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Detonate32c117$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4417952%93 W · 86 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Detonate43c116.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2621848.6%106 W · 112 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Detonate32c114.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6441339%161 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed NuTorious70c107.1$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.138161.7%50 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed Detonate31c106.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3714849.3%73 W · 75 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NuTorious66c105.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.475,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Detonate30c102.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.632,73230.3%829 W · 1,903 L-120.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9cd…f418backed NuTorious65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Detonate34c96.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.771,99547.5%948 W · 1,047 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Detonate20c93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.692231.2%288 W · 634 L-63.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed NuTorious70c92.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.218851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Detonate38c92.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.185051.8%440 W · 410 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed NuTorious68c88.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1623952.7%126 W · 113 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Detonate36c77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.762,60841.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L-123.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed NuTorious70c76.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9513453%71 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0607…b344backed NuTorious70c74.63$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.395664.3%36 W · 20 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Detonate30c72.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6380534%274 W · 531 L-51.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked NuTorious69c69.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.882,24147.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L-59.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed NuTorious71c67.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.644,16550.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L+70.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe650…0944backed NuTorious68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x921d…ea14backed Detonate34c58.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Detonate30c56.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9720945.5%95 W · 114 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04e…122ebacked NuTorious70c56.09$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…1a7bbacked NuTorious58c52.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.15038%19 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NuTorious78c50.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.125,70747.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L+45.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked NuTorious57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.543150.3%217 W · 214 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked NuTorious65c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81,27954.3%694 W · 585 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Detonate30c46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.622,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Detonate30c46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.581,98442.2%838 W · 1,146 L-74.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Detonate29c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.412,29343.3%994 W · 1,299 L-70.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Detonate26c43.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3836825.5%94 W · 274 L-18.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3340…13c8backed NuTorious68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.521643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Detonate35c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.958248.6%283 W · 299 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e0…90b2backed Detonate32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Detonate32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Detonate33c30.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0417949.2%88 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed NuTorious68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.651556.5%291 W · 224 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Detonate34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0545663.8%291 W · 165 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NuTorious69c29.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.132,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NuTorious75c28.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.268,13350.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L+169.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5217…c89abacked NuTorious69c28.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc5d…ae81backed NuTorious70c25.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce0…c846backed NuTorious68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90e0…6307backed NuTorious70c22.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.773762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked NuTorious75c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.531247.8%149 W · 163 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed NuTorious69c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.898253.7%44 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked NuTorious69c14.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6388954.4%484 W · 405 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.