Europa Conference League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e79b129d188e135c86da8417b3469ed693787da204a727051f2bb6ade4f1bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Over | 47c | 190,000$89,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,261.09 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Under | 53c | 185,677$98,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,034.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked Over | 46c | 15,359$7,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,293.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 6,328$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.02 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…9f44backed Under | 53c | 4,911$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 2,502$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 52c | 2,451$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.46 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 1,777$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.49 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 43c | 1,444$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 54c | 1,276$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.8 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 53c | 1,094$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.82 | 412 | 45.6%188 W · 224 L | +25.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 1,086$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.92 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 46c | 1,028$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.63 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 7c | 933.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 849.74$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.64 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 544.62$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.19 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…790cbacked Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 53c | 479.51$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.14 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 430.98$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.12 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 58c | 360.78$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 58c | 344.83$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 70c | 227.26$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Under | 52c | 215.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 56c | 170.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 59c | 165.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Under | 53c | 141.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 94.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 83.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 48c | 83.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 54c | 52.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 54c | 45.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Over | 41c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…2348backed Over | 41c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 54c | 22.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 52c | 20.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 71c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: Team to AdvanceBrighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: Tromsø IL O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.