Europa Conference League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee4d309dcdbc441624c4770b1f4b59b1d2a4d56a3f6b6f96bf36e4abfbc025d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 76c | 4,657$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.3 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 20c | 4,092$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.02 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 20c | 1,414$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.84 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 25c | 1,137$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.64 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 74c | 1,012$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.14 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 857.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…8011backed Over | 23c | 784.61$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 746.32$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 725.1$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.97 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 375.76$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 26c | 374.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 442 | 51.6%228 W · 214 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 76c | 261.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed Over | 27c | 252.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 16c | 240.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 26c | 194.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 17c | 152.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 74c | 133.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 22c | 125.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 73c | 99.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 39c | 63.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 72c | 53.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 76c | 44.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe814…8ffabacked Over | 29c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 33c | 39.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed Under | 74c | 33.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 26.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2,433 | 37.4%909 W · 1,524 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Under | 75c | 19.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…7d35backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 76cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: Team to AdvanceBrighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: Tromsø IL O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.