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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brighton & Hove Albion FCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Tromsø IL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a39…b0b9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC46c249,999$115,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,762.072934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed Tromsø IL54c118,524$64,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,018.750%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Tromsø IL54c69,030$37,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,057.712,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tromsø IL54c24,970$13,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,433.693,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.93060%18 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC41c10,956$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,455.541492.9%13 W · 1 L+6.3wins+0.45per pick48cpaid+120.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Tromsø IL53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,300650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Tromsø IL54c8,109$4,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,379.319959.6%59 W · 40 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Tromsø IL57c6,000$3,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.726456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tromsø IL54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7005265.4%34 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Tromsø IL54c4,295$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.341442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Tromsø IL57c3,705$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.212,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Tromsø IL54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Tromsø IL55c3,475$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9233442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tromsø IL59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7701,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC41c2,510$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.111,10445.4%501 W · 603 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Tromsø IL54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0804652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Tromsø IL55c1,962$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.372550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Tromsø IL56c1,902$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.0577248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Tromsø IL54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010054%54 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Tromsø IL56c1,769$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.447342.1%199 W · 274 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tromsø IL54c1,443$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.13327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tromsø IL58c1,184$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.7241245.6%188 W · 224 L+25.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb2c…5280backed Tromsø IL53c1,134$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Tromsø IL54c1,084$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.21145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Tromsø IL59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59013057.7%75 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Tromsø IL59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5906254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Tromsø IL58c802.73$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.6624149%118 W · 123 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Tromsø IL54c734.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Tromsø IL54c549.99$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.494944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tromsø IL23c456.82$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.116657.6%38 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Tromsø IL54c450.48$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.269142.9%39 W · 52 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Tromsø IL59c369$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.712850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Tromsø IL61c320.96$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7917252.9%91 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tromsø IL58c319.64$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.881,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Tromsø IL54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Tromsø IL54c294.91$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2538855.4%215 W · 173 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Tromsø IL54c262.48$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.747644.7%34 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tromsø IL6c214.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.871,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…ff8cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Tromsø IL60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206336.5%23 W · 40 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC43c186.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c5…4d7abacked Tromsø IL54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Tromsø IL54c185.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Tromsø IL54c170$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.957768.8%53 W · 24 L+10.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+26.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Tromsø IL56c159.07$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.753426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b23…6b2bbacked Tromsø IL53c158.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Tromsø IL54c138.28$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.671353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tromsø IL39c136.03$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8963249.1%310 W · 322 L+2.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Tromsø IL56c131$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.454353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0209…a0dabacked Tromsø IL63c100.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6340%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Tromsø IL54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.58452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Tromsø IL54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413968.3%95 W · 44 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Tromsø IL57c99.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4963649.5%315 W · 321 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Tromsø IL54c99.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.192,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ef…34cabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC47c87.43$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13b8…2348backed Tromsø IL55c66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed Tromsø IL54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Tromsø IL54c51.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Tromsø IL35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Tromsø IL60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042957.1%245 W · 184 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Tromsø IL54c49.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274131.7%13 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC46c47.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7176037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.514553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Tromsø IL54c45.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.325364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Tromsø IL47c42.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.821050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145064%32 W · 18 L+11.4wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+81.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.82653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Tromsø IL60c39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.441343.3%179 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…e94abacked Tromsø IL53c37.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7150%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Tromsø IL54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10af…2d06backed Tromsø IL55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad22…1e9fbacked Tromsø IL58c31.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.061553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Tromsø IL60c30.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.489153.4%476 W · 415 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC42c30.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.438135.8%29 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Tromsø IL57c30.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.330851%157 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC42c24.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.16454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Tromsø IL54c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3574939.4%295 W · 454 L-23.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.