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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brighton & Hove Albion FCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Tromsø IL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC66c38,066$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,066.11492.9%13 W · 1 L+6.3wins+0.45per pick48cpaid+120.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tromsø IL34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1003,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Tromsø IL34c4,859$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.586456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Tromsø IL33c4,697$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.2647342.1%199 W · 274 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC66c4,006$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.112,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tromsø IL36c3,002$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.521,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Tromsø IL37c2,727$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.852,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tromsø IL34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8505265.4%34 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Tromsø IL35c1,737$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6089959.6%59 W · 40 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tromsø IL35c1,539$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.6541245.6%188 W · 224 L+25.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Tromsø IL35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35013057.7%75 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Tromsø IL35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Tromsø IL36c991.12$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8333442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tromsø IL36c982.23$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.63327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Tromsø IL35c900$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31541645.9%191 W · 225 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tromsø IL37c355.93$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8463249.1%310 W · 322 L+2.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC63c331.65$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7117252.9%91 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Tromsø IL35c309.65$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3877248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC65c309.65$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.381070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tromsø IL35c291$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.731,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Tromsø IL37c290.73$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8224149%118 W · 123 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.594761.7%29 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Tromsø IL37c199.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.976336.5%23 W · 40 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tromsø IL37c196.22$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.61,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Tromsø IL36c168.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.311,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8f…aebfbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Tromsø IL36c139.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4127737.9%105 W · 172 L-17.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68aa…0f92backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC64c103.13$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Tromsø IL35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.563649.5%315 W · 321 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Tromsø IL34c95.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.248149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0209…a0dabacked Tromsø IL40c93.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4940%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tromsø IL34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9253747.9%257 W · 280 L-1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Tromsø IL32c80.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.682,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Tromsø IL35c79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0254353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC63c78.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.831758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Tromsø IL34c76.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2889153.4%476 W · 415 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc251…a5d3backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c60.95$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Tromsø IL33c60.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207646.1%35 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Tromsø IL37c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6542957.1%245 W · 184 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Tromsø IL34c42.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Tromsø IL37c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3241343.3%179 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13b8…2348backed Tromsø IL34c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370b…bb29backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Tromsø IL34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.274939.4%295 W · 454 L-23.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Tromsø IL36c28.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.354131.7%13 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Tromsø IL36c28.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.323441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC65c21.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6476037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e19…5eaabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.