CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f662a5b1b964b58a1d4e8befa9b3165f15f70b323b51f222bc7d4a97731c5d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, ILLYRIANS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 768 | 56.9%437 W · 331 L | +49.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ILLYRIANS | 52c | 4,559$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.63 | 2,561 | 43.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed ILLYRIANS | 18c | 2,631$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.07 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ILLYRIANS | 71c | 1,367$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.7 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed ILLYRIANS | 80c | 695.32$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.19 | 458 | 75.8%347 W · 111 L | +25.4wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ILLYRIANS | 8c | 657.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed ILLYRIANS | 48c | 641.5$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.17 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Misa Esports | 39c | 491.32$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.47 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Misa Esports | 50c | 456.03$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.02 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Misa Esports | 32c | 454.63$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.59 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed ILLYRIANS | 78c | 440.11$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.3 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ILLYRIANS | 77c | 435$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.02 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Misa Esports | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 585 | 22.4%131 W · 454 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Misa Esports | 40c | 363.51$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.97 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…ac95backed ILLYRIANS | 53c | 344.39$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Misa Esports | 18c | 314.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.43 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ILLYRIANS | 35c | 309.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01c…d6b8backed ILLYRIANS | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 245.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 765 | 53.3%408 W · 357 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…ebb7backed ILLYRIANS | 49c | 244.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed ILLYRIANS | 45c | 223.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked ILLYRIANS | 52c | 213.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 410 | 69%283 W · 127 L | +32.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ILLYRIANS | 16c | 181.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,629 | 29.8%485 W · 1,144 L | -90.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa5…6435backed ILLYRIANS | 53c | 165$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1ef1backed ILLYRIANS | 17c | 165$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Misa Esports | 39c | 147.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…413cbacked ILLYRIANS | 50c | 136.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f040backed Misa Esports | 73c | 130.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Misa Esports | 22c | 127.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ILLYRIANS | 65c | 119.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…e3b3backed ILLYRIANS | 12c | 116.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…2114backed ILLYRIANS | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…7acbbacked ILLYRIANS | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ILLYRIANS | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed ILLYRIANS | 56c | 70.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 446 | 72%321 W · 125 L | +26.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed ILLYRIANS | 19c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 22c | 57.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed ILLYRIANS | 46c | 53.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Misa Esports | 32c | 45.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ILLYRIANS | 60c | 43.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed ILLYRIANS | 61c | 42.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Misa Esports | 54c | 36.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 793 | 46.4%368 W · 425 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd326…9ce1backed ILLYRIANS | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Misa Esports | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 254 | 50.8%129 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 27.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 694 | 47.1%327 W · 367 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ILLYRIANS | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked ILLYRIANS | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 80.8%164 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Misa Esports | 48c | 20.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 889 | 54.4%484 W · 405 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…121cbacked ILLYRIANS | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Misa Esports | 62c | 18.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Misa Esports | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 443 | 73.6%326 W · 117 L | +43.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs ILLYRIANS - Map 2 WinnerILLYRIANS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.