NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20438a23054ddd3ad183fbd5ff39adb591542166e9d26834b7388d596b12169c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Cardinals | 24c | 6,962$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,288.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked 49ers | 76c | 6,600$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Cardinals | 61c | 6,283$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.91 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed 49ers | 77c | 4,237$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.88 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Cardinals | 23c | 4,001$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.98 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…231ebacked 49ers | 1c | 3,804$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked 49ers | 49c | 3,181$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.29 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…b5f3backed Cardinals | 71c | 2,945$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Cardinals | 62c | 2,913$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.3 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked 49ers | 76c | 2,815$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.02 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cardinals | 39c | 2,549$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.49 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed 49ers | 46c | 2,411$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.12 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Cardinals | 24c | 1,987$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed 49ers | 30c | 1,814$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Cardinals | 13c | 1,500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.99 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Cardinals | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Cardinals | 23c | 860.12$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.29 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cardinals | 38c | 714.71$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.65 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Cardinals | 47c | 704.92$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.12 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 25c | 704.19$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.78 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Cardinals | 25c | 548$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed 49ers | 42c | 495.36$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked 49ers | 77c | 476.62$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Cardinals | 26c | 474.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Cardinals | 11c | 466.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.92 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked 49ers | 75c | 423.43$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.57 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…9c6ebacked Cardinals | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…67a9backed 49ers | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…e748backed Cardinals | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Cardinals | 11c | 316.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.67 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…58c0backed 49ers | 67c | 299.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed 49ers | 38c | 262.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Cardinals | 37c | 256.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.63 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed Cardinals | 67c | 205$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…b2aabacked Cardinals | 7c | 195.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.97 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Cardinals | 21c | 193.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Cardinals | 28c | 186.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked 49ers | 66c | 186.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7882…b86abacked Cardinals | 12c | 181.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Cardinals | 19c | 176.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed 49ers | 72c | 156.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Cardinals | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…2ae9backed 49ers | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed 49ers | 74c | 140$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4adc…7639backed 49ers | 51c | 138$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…aa21backed Cardinals | 22c | 131.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…edfbbacked 49ers | 77c | 125.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…0bb4backed Cardinals | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…52f3backed 49ers | 76c | 102.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Cardinals | 24c | 102$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed 49ers | 35c | 100.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked 49ers | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Cardinals | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…d552backed Cardinals | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c43…9a57backed Cardinals | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed 49ers | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…0a62backed 49ers | 77c | 99.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Cardinals | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed 49ers | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Cardinals | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Cardinals | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…951dbacked Cardinals | 30c | 74.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed 49ers | 71c | 71.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Cardinals | 45c | 66.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked 49ers | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…e3a1backed 49ers | 76c | 61.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…a5a7backed Cardinals | 25c | 61.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +149%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 67c | 60.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…70a5backed Cardinals | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…0225backed Cardinals | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…3f09backed 49ers | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Cardinals | 26c | 48.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed 49ers | 75c | 42.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Cardinals | 30c | 41.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed 49ers | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Cardinals | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…bdf7backed Cardinals | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked 49ers | 70c | 39.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked 49ers | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…3128backed 49ers | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 72cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed 49ers | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 71.8%51 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked 49ers | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed 49ers | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed 49ers | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7019…4d84backed 49ers | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…9956backed 49ers | 76c | 21.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…9e17backed 49ers | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked 49ers | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked 49ers | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed 49ers | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…161bbacked 49ers | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…b00dbacked 49ers | 75c | 14.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.