Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210cbfd5e6d2a2b149522de99c8e8592cc8207b376a6a6b78f96e14c3767639f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 52c | 515$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.95 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 32c | 469.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 349.59$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.34 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 11c | 287.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed Yes | 73c | 255.18$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 46c | 208$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 14c | 197.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 54c | 184.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 23c | 175.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…9b7fbacked No | 47c | 173.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 48c | 164.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 52c | 157.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 48c | 150.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 58c | 149.83$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed Yes | 78c | 128.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 48c | 127$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 36c | 122.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 21c | 120.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 58c | 120.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 70c | 120.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 55c | 117.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 116.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 48c | 113.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 50c | 110.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 44c | 106.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987f…b37dbacked Yes | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 64c | 104.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 50c | 101.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 36c | 94.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…0858backed Yes | 35c | 90.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 53c | 77.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 36c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 58c | 76.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 59c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 53c | 66.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 51c | 62.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…9f83backed Yes | 74c | 60.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 84 | 76.2%64 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 50c | 58.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 52c | 57.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb11…6147backed No | 44c | 56.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked Yes | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 32c | 52.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 51c | 51.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 49c | 49.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 185 | 55.7%103 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 49.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…bf4abacked Yes | 54c | 46.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 54c | 45.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 403 | 37.2%150 W · 253 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 552 | 61.6%340 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 55c | 43.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…c58bbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 54c | 40.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 64c | 39.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 52c | 38.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked No | 46c | 37.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…fccdbacked Yes | 67c | 36.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 55c | 36.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 47c | 35.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…cf3cbacked Yes | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 32.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ab48backed Yes | 64c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 52c | 30.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…f3bbbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 57c | 28.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 72c | 28.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf336…a233backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 75c | 22.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…1085backed Yes | 55c | 21.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…52abbacked No | 49c | 20.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 66c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 76c | 20.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…1d98backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…f92fbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 213 | 61%130 W · 83 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.