Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb72dad9e94dbb944f1ea7b27ff1869943e31a47beaee541e8eedd04715b57565
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 25c | 1,534$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.42 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 34c | 524.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 7c | 398.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 30c | 384.4$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 356.59$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 68c | 338.36$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 76c | 334.82$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 319.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 28c | 290.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…297dbacked Yes | 8c | 275.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 175 | 11.4%20 W · 155 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 29c | 274.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 28c | 259.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 67c | 250.97$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed No | 73c | 249.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 240.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 74c | 214$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 33c | 212.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 76c | 204.32$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 67c | 197.82$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987f…b37dbacked Yes | 20c | 176$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 169.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed Yes | 33c | 149.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 17c | 137.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…3c20backed Yes | 47c | 125.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e95…ec2cbacked Yes | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 71c | 105.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 69c | 105.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 40c | 100.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 33c | 95.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 31c | 88.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 35c | 88.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 69c | 84.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a338backed Yes | 39c | 81.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +29.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…8a61backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 36c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 34c | 75.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 29c | 73.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 71.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…1c6ebacked No | 57c | 70.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…a64dbacked Yes | 23c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 31c | 65.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 34c | 64.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 61c | 63.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 28c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 26c | 55.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 30c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked Yes | 32c | 51.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 25c | 46.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 27c | 43.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 42c | 43.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 41.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…ef8abacked No | 69c | 40.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…6233backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…6e66backed No | 67c | 37.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 68c | 36.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 69c | 35.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…f54abacked Yes | 38c | 34.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 34c | 31.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 68c | 30.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 72c | 28.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 27.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 57c | 25.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…af33backed Yes | 45c | 23.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 70c | 22.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 72c | 22.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 21.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…6084backed No | 75c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 80c | 17.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 72c | 17.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 74c | 15.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 77c | 14.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed No | 77c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 152 | 58.6%89 W · 63 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 2?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.