Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21240b3df7ea1048f11dd3aa82c3455ae042b786f1c7bedae4e6f827a75053a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,007$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.93 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 62c | 988.71$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.33 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed No | 23c | 491.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 30c | 467.83$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 42c | 437.55$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 59c | 386.5$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 299.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 297.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.17 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked Yes | 78c | 278.09$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 249.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 35c | 218.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 202.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 25c | 172.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 36c | 171.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 166.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed No | 32c | 166.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 72c | 159.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 77c | 158.24$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…bf2abacked Yes | 76c | 156.59$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked No | 33c | 149.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 50c | 148.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 34c | 148.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 58c | 144.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 59c | 129.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 33c | 129.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 49c | 125.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 21c | 119$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 27c | 118.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 74c | 117.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 33c | 114.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 112.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 67c | 111.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 52c | 110.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad6…29f2backed Yes | 76c | 108.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 44c | 98.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…8188backed No | 28c | 95.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 57c | 93.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 60c | 87.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 59c | 86.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 24c | 82.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 24c | 81.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3b…0b8fbacked Yes | 80c | 80.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b7…e57ebacked No | 63c | 78.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 58c | 78.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked No | 68c | 77.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 77.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 46c | 74.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 71.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…452fbacked No | 17c | 71.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 48c | 67.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 46c | 64.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 62c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…b231backed No | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b7a2backed No | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…6dabbacked No | 48c | 51.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed No | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…6ddfbacked No | 44c | 46.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 45.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed No | 54c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 54c | 41.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 72c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…a35dbacked Yes | 67c | 39.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…8374backed No | 34c | 39.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 64c | 39.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 61c | 37.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 65c | 37.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…6be6backed Yes | 53c | 37.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6901…cb49backed No | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 43c | 35.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 47c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 55c | 34.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 67c | 33.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 37c | 32.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 64c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…53d0backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 76c | 28.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed No | 49c | 27.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…10ffbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…202cbacked No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4885…2236backed Yes | 69c | 24.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…ab06backed No | 46c | 24.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 62c | 24.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.