TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UNO MILLEof Bounty Hunters Esports, UNO MILLE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb373…d97cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports2c10,060$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6658745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4933…46adbacked UNO MILLE52c1,898$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Bounty Hunters Esports39c1,343$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.337353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+139.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Bounty Hunters Esports37c1,126$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.75,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports48c935.88$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.193,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports53c859.01$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.871,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNO MILLE65c792.41$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.675,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed UNO MILLE74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15619447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…d609backed UNO MILLE47c515.97$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UNO MILLE68c501.56$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.771,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Bounty Hunters Esports54c501.16$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4289248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce37…11c9backed UNO MILLE47c481.54$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Bounty Hunters Esports37c472.61$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.742,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6261…983cbacked UNO MILLE46c470.51$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Bounty Hunters Esports26c460$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0320242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Bounty Hunters Esports26c440$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…7458backed Bounty Hunters Esports10c424$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.43930.8%12 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x113a…4934backed UNO MILLE48c422.4$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf66…509cbacked UNO MILLE40c408.65$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed UNO MILLE53c402.61$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0280942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf479…2d49backed Bounty Hunters Esports54c373.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002536%9 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x662a…150ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports54c367.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e12…5334backed UNO MILLE51c358.21$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf2…a6dcbacked UNO MILLE46c355.34$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed UNO MILLE49c352.95$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.015,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed UNO MILLE51c314.18$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.646,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNO MILLE72c309.19$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.577,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports60c303.41$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.525,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports28c300.37$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2715637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked UNO MILLE75c294.67$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6735745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bounty Hunters Esports26c285.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.252,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed UNO MILLE72c279.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7140449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed UNO MILLE55c260.68$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.744,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80db…52aebacked UNO MILLE49c255.47$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Bounty Hunters Esports19c255$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7591743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports48c250.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.11,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed UNO MILLE70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports48c230.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.62,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked UNO MILLE52c227.15$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.364,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Bounty Hunters Esports26c227.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.988330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports48c207$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6263038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked UNO MILLE59c195.33$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.54,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports53c188.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010444.2%46 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed Bounty Hunters Esports53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked UNO MILLE67c186$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.093,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed Bounty Hunters Esports55c182.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Bounty Hunters Esports51c152.21$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6355039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed UNO MILLE76c143.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0889046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Bounty Hunters Esports55c140$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7726155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed UNO MILLE65c140$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.442,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports13c138.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.391,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked UNO MILLE73c134$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2218753.5%100 W · 87 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Bounty Hunters Esports62c133.23$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8215347.1%72 W · 81 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Bounty Hunters Esports39c128.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.998637.2%32 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports8c127$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.162,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports39c124.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee22…7054backed Bounty Hunters Esports47c114.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0811844.1%52 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed UNO MILLE74c113$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8245754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed UNO MILLE44c112.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.251,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Bounty Hunters Esports29c111.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.211,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked UNO MILLE66c110.35$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.942,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed Bounty Hunters Esports56c106.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Bounty Hunters Esports51c105.37$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8527248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed UNO MILLE61c101$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9375438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked UNO MILLE74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1760032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Bounty Hunters Esports51c98.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2446447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…6ffdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports44c91.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed UNO MILLE76c89.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.430859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81e9…b0cabacked UNO MILLE78c88.87$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.552958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports44c81.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.852,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed Bounty Hunters Esports23c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.78933.7%30 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked UNO MILLE72c79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0127156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked Bounty Hunters Esports51c78.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.849732%31 W · 66 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked UNO MILLE64c77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.721,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked UNO MILLE67c75.69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.071,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed UNO MILLE40c73.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6477351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed UNO MILLE68c73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4452369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked UNO MILLE70c72.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7274653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ee…1f82backed Bounty Hunters Esports58c69.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407938%30 W · 49 L-10.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x20f4…8b5ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports57c68.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed UNO MILLE44c68.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4329731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked UNO MILLE42c62.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1435131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4baf…498cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports51c60.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.922951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports50c60.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3117448.3%84 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Bounty Hunters Esports53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325151%26 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports54c55.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028454.9%156 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Bounty Hunters Esports36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.830831.2%96 W · 212 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b49…9bdcbacked Bounty Hunters Esports41c54.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.19633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.526448.1%127 W · 137 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd31a…e653backed Bounty Hunters Esports52c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.966851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed UNO MILLE68c45.06$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4147856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e46…8c1cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports50c43.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5523654.7%129 W · 107 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked UNO MILLE61c36.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3116651.8%86 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Bounty Hunters Esports43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.492,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Bounty Hunters Esports45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3413148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked UNO MILLE78c31.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.998564.7%55 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5d…8e0fbacked UNO MILLE77c31.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked UNO MILLE62c29.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1213060.8%79 W · 51 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bounty Hunters Esports41c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.891,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.