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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons54c34,453$18,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,867.3455157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed BetBoom Team46c30,000$13,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,798.3742650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed BetBoom Team47c6,008$2,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.210741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed BetBoom Team46c6,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76010445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed BetBoom Team44c5,452$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.987143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Team Falcons38c4,450$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.2412155.4%67 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+134.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked BetBoom Team47c4,400$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.818844.3%39 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons56c4,376$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.4219147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons54c3,740$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.1396557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons76c3,599$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.6934468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons57c2,379$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.4254445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Team Falcons48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3311359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed BetBoom Team52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04012851.6%66 W · 62 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…9c9abacked Team Falcons61c2,000$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90079959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x910a…9e92backed BetBoom Team4c1,772$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.352045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team36c1,144$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.611,82345.1%822 W · 1,001 L+34.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed BetBoom Team38c1,131$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.7866662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Team Falcons54c1,115$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.654856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team42c1,021$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.021,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…dd86backed Team Falcons54c1,008$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.551050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+54%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c9…e194backed BetBoom Team42c973.93$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.054035%14 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6503…0c3dbacked BetBoom Team34c971.64$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3308461.9%52 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7e0…0d61backed Team Falcons26c937.3$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.661520%3 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team41c850.76$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.362,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Team Falcons53c842.47$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.5353844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Team Falcons61c822.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.098957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4605…5299backed BetBoom Team43c806.99$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.738833%29 W · 59 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed BetBoom Team43c806.32$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons59c795.78$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6180942.6%345 W · 464 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed BetBoom Team56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed BetBoom Team45c646.67$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed BetBoom Team46c603.48$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.421346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27088166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team41c582.36$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.272,83443.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L-39.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons56c575.15$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.1555251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Team Falcons56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.719959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Team Falcons56c529.43$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4316160.2%97 W · 64 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Team Falcons56c501.77$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9516821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0267…dc5abacked Team Falcons26c500$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.81070%7 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.45per pick25cpaid+163.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbd12…5503backed Team Falcons26c500$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.84100%4 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+264.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27031545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons61c479.43$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9851140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Team Falcons65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5425457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked BetBoom Team45c449.02$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0629548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed BetBoom Team47c436.73$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2656948.7%277 W · 292 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed BetBoom Team51c430$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21936054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked BetBoom Team47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004060%24 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Falcons55c421.65$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.658854.5%48 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked BetBoom Team36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14414058.6%82 W · 58 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Team Falcons61c355.3$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2413455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6359250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13261548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked Team Falcons50c296.54$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.278060%48 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons58c291.45$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4145061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Team Falcons76c279.84$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.319664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab6b…d9d3backed BetBoom Team16c272.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8626957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6226453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78db…4d37backed Team Falcons56c239.15$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.276944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons56c235$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.448352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team46c227.35$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.581,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed BetBoom Team46c215.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0236252.2%189 W · 173 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0abe…ad59backed BetBoom Team37c210.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4253757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed BetBoom Team55c183.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2957455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Falcons57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.428244%124 W · 158 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Team Falcons57c174.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5752649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde39…f3b5backed BetBoom Team26c166$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.443650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Team Falcons45c141$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.554443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d4…33d8backed BetBoom Team44c133$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1211757.3%67 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed BetBoom Team47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.436343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Team Falcons47c114.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8915546.5%72 W · 83 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7272…1b61backed BetBoom Team24c111.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed BetBoom Team21c109.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.479343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed BetBoom Team46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c52…e75fbacked Team Falcons54c107$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0413732.8%45 W · 92 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Team Falcons65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Team Falcons26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.05933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed BetBoom Team35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3597142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked BetBoom Team41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4142145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd99e…8102backed Team Falcons55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455024%12 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac5d…d45fbacked BetBoom Team45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459535.8%34 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Falcons56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.670236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Team Falcons56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2918444.6%82 W · 102 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons56c88.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8258152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Team Falcons57c88.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.256566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa612…3397backed Team Falcons57c88.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bef…be32backed Team Falcons55c81.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8213449.3%66 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3612449.2%61 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed BetBoom Team46c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.54546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked BetBoom Team45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014965.8%98 W · 51 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed BetBoom Team46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034245.6%156 W · 186 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Team Falcons56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.447951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Falcons60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2413061.5%80 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe866…1a70backed Team Falcons54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.611057.3%63 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Team Falcons57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.624026.7%64 W · 176 L-30.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed BetBoom Team46c59.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.595552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Team Falcons50c58.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2355561.8%343 W · 212 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ba…9fecbacked Team Falcons54c55.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2210546.7%49 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.