TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d34…7c8cbacked BetBoom Team19c28,278$5,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,504.3814515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed BetBoom Team41c24,303$10,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,049.1942650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons59c16,467$9,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,713.3955157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed BetBoom Team25c8,353$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.947143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons64c8,011$5,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,923.3813558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons59c7,205$4,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.1220159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team34c6,820$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.031,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons62c6,200$3,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.2654445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed BetBoom Team31c6,140$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.9510741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed BetBoom Team41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.9910445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked BetBoom Team36c5,481$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1916248.8%79 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team26c5,249$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.771,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team42c4,333$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.7296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Falcons59c3,618$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.336256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons63c3,512$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.4411547%54 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Team Falcons60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.3311359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team24c2,806$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.741,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed BetBoom Team37c2,649$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.022755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Team Falcons63c2,541$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.1413455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed BetBoom Team40c2,343$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.1866662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24079959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x55af…0715backed Team Falcons60c1,643$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.093164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5554…98f9backed Team Falcons76c1,573$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.976066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3908…8a72backed BetBoom Team7c1,534$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked BetBoom Team37c1,487$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5508543.5%37 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed BetBoom Team36c1,434$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.3555751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed BetBoom Team36c1,400$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50458744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked BetBoom Team38c1,336$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.3485851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Team Falcons72c1,247$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.388957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons70c1,174$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.1662650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons75c1,055$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.7531545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team22c1,048$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.792,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BetBoom Team35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons61c984$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.3677941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Team Falcons64c924.62$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.6216160.2%97 W · 64 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4a1…9c88backed BetBoom Team1c910$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team21c900$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18671454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Falcons59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32829047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Team Falcons65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2321264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Falcons62c700$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26614058.6%82 W · 58 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons62c613.64$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3288166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked Team Falcons74c535.46$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.228060%48 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked BetBoom Team39c518.09$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0629548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4726453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed BetBoom Team40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Falcons61c495.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.748854.5%48 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed BetBoom Team38c450$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17111043.6%48 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Falcons72c442.14$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8956848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons64c429.69$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6955251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team30c425.57$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.941,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda6…3f07backed Team Falcons74c418.53$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.152560%15 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons65c407.22$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5357455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac5d…d45fbacked BetBoom Team17c399.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689535.8%34 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c52…e75fbacked Team Falcons71c343.47$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6113732.8%45 W · 92 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons61c340$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.480742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked Team Falcons65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.694060%24 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Team Falcons69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8614965.8%98 W · 51 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed BetBoom Team39c256.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons59c240$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.448352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaed7…baa3backed Team Falcons75c206.73$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6831648.7%154 W · 162 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.245061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3260…85ddbacked Team Falcons61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796454.7%35 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8253757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons61c199.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7899844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons61c194.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1726957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcac5…9eaabacked BetBoom Team27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…9e92backed Team Falcons66c180.21$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.272045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed BetBoom Team28c180.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0abe…ad59backed BetBoom Team39c174.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed BetBoom Team27c170.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0922534.2%77 W · 148 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ebd…2c43backed Team Falcons62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.294245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x149b…0ca8backed Team Falcons65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-57.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Team Falcons76c152.23$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6726958.7%158 W · 111 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Team Falcons74c147.3$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.372154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Team Falcons75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3352649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7272…1b61backed Team Falcons65c108.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.081216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb22f…804dbacked BetBoom Team23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254060%24 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5524…2f3cbacked Team Falcons60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked BetBoom Team39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3942145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Team Falcons77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.850757.4%291 W · 216 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4112449.2%61 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons60c95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3558152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70da…68dbbacked Team Falcons65c86.05$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.122157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ba…9fecbacked Team Falcons59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7510546.7%49 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Team Falcons60c84.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8267853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked BetBoom Team15c83.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.537424.3%18 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed Team Falcons62c80.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7323957.3%137 W · 102 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed BetBoom Team27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.633645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Falcons65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2837754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd99e…8102backed BetBoom Team27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65024%12 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked BetBoom Team25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2092056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b27…7bfdbacked Team Falcons61c75.16$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Team Falcons59c72.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.545955.9%33 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7730…df57backed BetBoom Team27c70.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.124856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0ba…fc0ebacked Team Falcons64c70.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3120149.8%100 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d4…33d8backed BetBoom Team26c69.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.211757.3%67 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0030…04e9backed Team Falcons64c66.08$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7934152.2%178 W · 163 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Team Falcons65c64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.415653.8%84 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked BetBoom Team37c63.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.399137.4%34 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed BetBoom Team40c61.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.595552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.