Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22bd1aa701cb030621d0ecd9884158915b06504737ef6b25ed08dd488f8881f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 44c | 1,049$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.9 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 79c | 677.05$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 49 | 91.8%45 W · 4 L | +18.2wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 77+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 23c | 651.44$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 3c | 519.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 56c | 396$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 70c | 279.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 21c | 248.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 59c | 242.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 186.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 55c | 182.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 41c | 178.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 45c | 173.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 40c | 172.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 56c | 172.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 43c | 148.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 138.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 13c | 131.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 128.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 128.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82df…0f66backed Yes | 64c | 120.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 69 | 89.9%62 W · 7 L | +25.3wins | +0.37per pick | 53cpaid | +111%equal weight | 80+0.27 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 43c | 119.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 115.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 110.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 39c | 109.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 103.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 44c | 98.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 15c | 95.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 55c | 87.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 78.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 49c | 77.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 57c | 76.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 57c | 76.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked No | 57c | 75.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 40c | 66.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad95…bfeabacked Yes | 35c | 65.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 40c | 63.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 61.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 56c | 55.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…f7edbacked No | 57c | 51.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329f…81b4backed Yes | 39c | 51.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 57c | 47.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 283 | 44.5%126 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4127…a8cebacked Yes | 50c | 43.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 62c | 42.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…6c1ebacked No | 62c | 40.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 106 | 71.7%76 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 31c | 38.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 57c | 36.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 41c | 36.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…925abacked Yes | 42c | 35.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 57c | 35.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 49c | 29.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…446ebacked Yes | 45c | 27.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 57c | 27.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 54c | 26.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 57c | 25.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 44c | 25.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8b…e621backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…c75fbacked Yes | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 55c | 24.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 49c | 23.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 43c | 23.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 59c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…814abacked Yes | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed No | 68c | 22.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 173 | 61.8%107 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…d067backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…b01cbacked Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…a606backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.