TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Istanbul 2: Kenta Miyoshi vs Mert Alkaya

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kenta Miyoshiof Kenta Miyoshi, Mert Alkaya
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Mert Alkaya3c16,361$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.724,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x772b…1840backed Mert Alkaya5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mert Alkaya25c3,965$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.428,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Mert Alkaya30c2,800$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.394,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Kenta Miyoshi66c2,010$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.472,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kenta Miyoshi67c1,769$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.719,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Kenta Miyoshi74c1,200$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6764753.9%349 W · 298 L+32.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Kenta Miyoshi75c973.82$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.962,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mert Alkaya21c850.5$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.992,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Mert Alkaya36c778.76$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.33,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Kenta Miyoshi60c778.32$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.111,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e54…e773backed Mert Alkaya40c731.7$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.686952.2%36 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Mert Alkaya40c731.7$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7313138.2%50 W · 81 L-16.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xad5c…17eebacked Mert Alkaya41c731.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Mert Alkaya3c666.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015115.9%24 W · 127 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Kenta Miyoshi66c641.51$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.486,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Mert Alkaya43c539.17$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.81,83057.7%1,056 W · 774 L+105.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mert Alkaya16c516.77$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.978,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…692abacked Mert Alkaya41c488.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007650%38 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Kenta Miyoshi64c468$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4825546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Kenta Miyoshi75c429.71$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.821,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Kenta Miyoshi60c416.66$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.662,05659.5%1,224 W · 832 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x083c…65f2backed Mert Alkaya3c406$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe935…3991backed Mert Alkaya3c396$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.074240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Kenta Miyoshi60c375.54$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.123,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mert Alkaya33c369$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.774,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Kenta Miyoshi59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mert Alkaya5c289.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.666,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…4b73backed Mert Alkaya7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Mert Alkaya40c261.31$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2814124.8%35 W · 106 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Mert Alkaya38c255.57$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.651,01336.5%370 W · 643 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Mert Alkaya43c239.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.21,53442.4%651 W · 883 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Mert Alkaya30c228.46$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3953043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Mert Alkaya26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5222146.2%102 W · 119 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Mert Alkaya40c193$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.295455.5%529 W · 425 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Mert Alkaya40c180.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7917747.5%84 W · 93 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Mert Alkaya31c159.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.965,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Mert Alkaya43c157.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.791,54049.2%758 W · 782 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Mert Alkaya49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702,40451.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mert Alkaya40c140.06$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.031,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Mert Alkaya39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030525.9%79 W · 226 L-28.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Kenta Miyoshi74c114.9$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2576355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Mert Alkaya40c100.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8791845.4%417 W · 501 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Mert Alkaya40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Mert Alkaya34c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.530147.5%143 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163d…7c69backed Mert Alkaya26c87.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5914715.6%23 W · 124 L-32.8wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Mert Alkaya22c87.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2938047.1%179 W · 201 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Kenta Miyoshi58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2127139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Mert Alkaya38c84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.927,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Kenta Miyoshi65c76.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.491,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Mert Alkaya31c70.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.831,62454.4%883 W · 741 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65a4…1963backed Kenta Miyoshi60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.674057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Kenta Miyoshi60c65.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.461,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Kenta Miyoshi68c62.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.262,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Mert Alkaya40c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8681959.3%486 W · 333 L+2.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Kenta Miyoshi58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7220336.5%74 W · 129 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mert Alkaya26c51.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.384,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Kenta Miyoshi60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251,23544.9%554 W · 681 L-5.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986b…bdc6backed Kenta Miyoshi78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111433.3%38 W · 76 L-25.1wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.9%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Mert Alkaya40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7560341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mert Alkaya35c49.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.532,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Kenta Miyoshi56c49.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591,41855%780 W · 638 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0617…08d9backed Mert Alkaya23c48.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.234443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Mert Alkaya40c48.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4135851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kenta Miyoshi58c44.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.97,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Kenta Miyoshi60c43.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3331447.8%150 W · 164 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Kenta Miyoshi59c42.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3426547.9%127 W · 138 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Kenta Miyoshi62c33.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61,21252%630 W · 582 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Mert Alkaya40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Kenta Miyoshi60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1215557.4%89 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Mert Alkaya41c29.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2354746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Kenta Miyoshi61c26.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5618647.3%88 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Kenta Miyoshi61c25.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8718356.3%103 W · 80 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c37…4f52backed Mert Alkaya40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa69…ff71backed Kenta Miyoshi71c24.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.058367.5%56 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Mert Alkaya44c24.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.562,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Mert Alkaya50c23.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9840661.3%249 W · 157 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Kenta Miyoshi62c23.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.931,07956.3%608 W · 471 L+50.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d4…e363backed Kenta Miyoshi50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Kenta Miyoshi59c18.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5467745.6%309 W · 368 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x388b…58adbacked Kenta Miyoshi68c17.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.592958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44be…76b1backed Kenta Miyoshi69c14.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.57153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.