Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
SMU Mustangs vs. Stanford Cardinal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24a4a921333127a19451304b4aa5446493ecafe5667dc5c47fd5d1a78e0af58e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanford Cardinalof SMU Mustangs, Stanford Cardinal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked SMU Mustangs | 27c | 24,740$6,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,567.91 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stanford Cardinal | 65c | 9,025$5,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 6,949$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.21 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 6,861$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.56 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 6,461$4,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.35 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 50c | 4,013$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.51 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stanford Cardinal | 59c | 3,943$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.64 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked SMU Mustangs | 45c | 3,764$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.01 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stanford Cardinal | 60c | 3,759$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 3,112$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.82 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SMU Mustangs | 35c | 2,543$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.44 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stanford Cardinal | 72c | 2,411$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.88 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked SMU Mustangs | 32c | 2,408$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.63 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed SMU Mustangs | 38c | 2,173$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.99 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Stanford Cardinal | 70c | 2,087$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.23 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 2,032$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.21 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 1,543$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.69 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked SMU Mustangs | 40c | 1,528$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked SMU Mustangs | 34c | 1,467$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.88 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked SMU Mustangs | 41c | 1,106$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.64 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 66c | 894.76$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stanford Cardinal | 74c | 871.07$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Stanford Cardinal | 50c | 809.47$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.73 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 649.27$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.1 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 636.1$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 540.43$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.62 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stanford Cardinal | 68c | 523.34$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SMU Mustangs | 49c | 516$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 339.68$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 297.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 72c | 259.76$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stanford Cardinal | 50c | 241.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 198.62$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed SMU Mustangs | 34c | 176.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 166.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Stanford Cardinal | 74c | 152.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 151$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Stanford Cardinal | 50c | 120.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 111.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked SMU Mustangs | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked SMU Mustangs | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked SMU Mustangs | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked SMU Mustangs | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Stanford Cardinal | 63c | 94.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 92.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 80.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 78.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 77.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 65c | 76.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed SMU Mustangs | 54c | 73.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed SMU Mustangs | 25c | 63.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed SMU Mustangs | 30c | 63.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed SMU Mustangs | 20c | 59.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SMU Mustangs | 28c | 54.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Stanford Cardinal | 69c | 54.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 53.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…fb0dbacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Stanford Cardinal | 69c | 43.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Stanford Cardinal | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 36.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Stanford Cardinal | 80c | 36.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…8f41backed Stanford Cardinal | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Stanford Cardinal | 61c | 25.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked SMU Mustangs | 52c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Stanford Cardinal | 44c | 22.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 44c | 22.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…9e2bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 62c | 19.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SMU Mustangs vs. Stanford Cardinalthis page
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-1.5)Stanford Cardinal won
- Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-1.5)Stanford Cardinal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.