Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25d17828573b61c25b624dcd18b8e5aa8d5357f365b21e015c733c9e75a11ed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9314…db74backed No | 34c | 1,172$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.14 | 305 | 26.9%82 W · 223 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 15c | 921.77$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.29 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1516…9f4cbacked Yes | 63c | 916.99$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.15 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 32c | 730.32$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.25 | 601 | 23.6%142 W · 459 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 55c | 394.08$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 5,255 | 49.8%2,618 W · 2,637 L | -163.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 48c | 327.47$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 78c | 302.56$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.36 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…4347backed No | 40c | 301.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 41c | 237.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.15 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | -11.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 216.62$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.22 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 70c | 208$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 43c | 202.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 26c | 193.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 57c | 187.59$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 535 | 48.2%258 W · 277 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 38c | 187$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 57c | 184.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 706 | 45.8%323 W · 383 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 38c | 183.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 44c | 177.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 59c | 174.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 265 | 56.2%149 W · 116 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 27c | 161.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 1,014 | 51.6%523 W · 491 L | +108.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 30c | 158.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 2,226 | 59.1%1,316 W · 910 L | +110.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 63c | 156.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 901 | 55.7%502 W · 399 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987f…b37dbacked Yes | 48c | 155$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 127 | 32.3%41 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 375 | 50.7%190 W · 185 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 17c | 145.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 4,700 | 26.6%1,248 W · 3,452 L | +64.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 36c | 140.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 52c | 134$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 637 | 33.4%213 W · 424 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 16c | 133.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 2,216 | 56.8%1,258 W · 958 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 22c | 132.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,156 | 31.1%359 W · 797 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e12fbacked No | 35c | 130.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 17c | 126.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 51c | 116.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 494 | 49.2%243 W · 251 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 54c | 111.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 13c | 106.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,254 | 58.2%1,311 W · 943 L | +84.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 279 | 44.4%124 W · 155 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 221 | 16.7%37 W · 184 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 256 | 53.9%138 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 62c | 96.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 71c | 95.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 795 | 63.5%505 W · 290 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 7,233 | 9.3%675 W · 6,558 L | -1,116.1wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 49c | 87.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d42…5bf3backed Yes | 60c | 85.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 51c | 78.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…3d3cbacked Yes | 51c | 69.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 40c | 69.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…adafbacked Yes | 58c | 68.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 29c | 65.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed Yes | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4077…01abbacked No | 48c | 58.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed No | 45c | 58.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a34…92cdbacked Yes | 71c | 55.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…7df1backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 51c | 51.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 414 | 43.2%179 W · 235 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 45c | 51.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,421 | 31.1%442 W · 979 L | -93.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 63c | 50.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…2b19backed Yes | 54c | 49.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 62c | 46.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 54c | 44.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…04e4backed No | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 52c | 42.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 268 | 63.1%169 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2028…cacdbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486a…296cbacked Yes | 54c | 39.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…171dbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 56c | 34.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 550 | 26.9%148 W · 402 L | -66.5wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda61…2b5fbacked No | 46c | 32.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…26ffbacked Yes | 76c | 32.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed No | 48c | 31.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 42c | 31.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 1,254 | 59.8%750 W · 504 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6172…f63fbacked No | 51c | 29.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 36c | 29.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 986 | 51.1%504 W · 482 L | -49.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…e849backed No | 48c | 28.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 43c | 28.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 814 | 57.5%468 W · 346 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 40c | 28.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,178 | 40.6%478 W · 700 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…a428backed Yes | 63c | 27.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 44c | 25.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…5839backed Yes | 60c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 50c | 24.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 61c | 24.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 3,725 | 33.8%1,258 W · 2,467 L | -194.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,649 | 53.2%1,943 W · 1,706 L | +83.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…2705backed Yes | 73c | 21.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…eaa7backed No | 49c | 21.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 51c | 21.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 527 | 43.6%230 W · 297 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 51c | 21.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 230 | 66.5%153 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 51c | 20.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 220 | 45.9%101 W · 119 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556b…4e33backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -10.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 941 | 62.3%586 W · 355 L | -24.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…1a13backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…c4febacked Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 61c | 16.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 218 | 60.1%131 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.