MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27bf8258bac66729bc164fe1cf01c9d7b2bb29d9424efb3dfd05ca79f278a4a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Kiwoom Heroes, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 3,970$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.67 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 63c | 3,454$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.1 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked LG Twins | 66c | 584.6$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.6 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed LG Twins | 54c | 578.71$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 512.62$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed LG Twins | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 497.22$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 460.95$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked LG Twins | 62c | 386$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 72c | 358.63$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 21c | 357.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 64c | 317.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…ed44backed LG Twins | 64c | 312.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LG Twins | 77c | 262.1$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 233.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 69c | 232$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed LG Twins | 64c | 228$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 63c | 222$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 216.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 154.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 15c | 136.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 127.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked LG Twins | 64c | 122.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked LG Twins | 64c | 117.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 109.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 23c | 102.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 101.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed LG Twins | 64c | 101.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 21c | 87.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…42a8backed LG Twins | 62c | 81.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed LG Twins | 62c | 59.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked LG Twins | 64c | 57.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed63…5525backed Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 47.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed LG Twins | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked LG Twins | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 77c | 40.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed LG Twins | 49c | 35.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 30.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked LG Twins | 65c | 27.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…dbcfbacked LG Twins | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…4ea2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LG Twins | 62c | 19.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed LG Twins | 73c | 18.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked LG Twins | 63c | 17.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed LG Twins | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.