Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2882c1e3244c8a0c6159835e3f3153f0d024258da179b320336a3cc3b627c10e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed No | 65c | 2,016$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.59 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 44c | 617.52$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.82 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 32c | 534.27$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.42 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 42c | 500.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 65c | 448.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.21 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 60c | 334.35$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 59c | 305.36$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 41c | 289.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.38 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 33c | 272.53$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 219.7$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 28c | 208.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 205.37$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 199.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 29c | 188$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 183.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 44c | 179.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 40c | 166$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 58c | 161.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…547dbacked No | 57c | 154.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 150.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 43c | 142.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 38c | 132.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 54c | 129.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 126.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 123.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked Yes | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 115.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 36c | 113.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 30c | 109.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 41c | 97.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 56c | 90.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 55c | 89.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 42c | 84.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…a1eabacked Yes | 45c | 79.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 78.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 38c | 74.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 26c | 70.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 54c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked Yes | 44c | 63.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed No | 59c | 63.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…68babacked Yes | 36c | 60.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 40c | 58.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 37c | 55.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 37c | 55.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 52c | 52.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 41c | 50.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…47f6backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…e66dbacked No | 62c | 48.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 47.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 25c | 47.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 61c | 46.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 69c | 46.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 44.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…5566backed No | 37c | 42.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 69c | 40.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bc…52d8backed Yes | 45c | 39.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 41c | 38.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 40c | 37.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 55c | 36.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 41c | 35.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 52c | 35.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed Yes | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de6…f3e4backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 53c | 34.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 36c | 34.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…647bbacked Yes | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…9a52backed Yes | 64c | 31.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 65c | 30.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 60c | 28.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 42c | 27.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…433abacked No | 55c | 26.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 64c | 25.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 55c | 23.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 65c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…df5dbacked No | 66c | 23.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 45c | 23.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 58c | 21.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 19.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.