MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f27819a2fc57f5fe372cdf5f7c095e8e32b5d04ae6e1c8a08fcb65f092941e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Chicago White Sox, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 29c | 3,861$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 3,762$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 2,632$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 1,671$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.85 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 754.81$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.51 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 749.98$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 632.57$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.77 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 613.39$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 70c | 608.38$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.51 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 575.02$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.02 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 450.08$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 424$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 342.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 319.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Chicago White Sox | 35c | 301.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 259.15$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 209.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 187.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 185.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 120.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 115.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 108.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 93.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 93.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Chicago White Sox | 27c | 90.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 77.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 71.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 58.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 58.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Minnesota Twins | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 136 | 72.1%98 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 56.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 26c | 51.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 45.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Minnesota Twins | 69c | 40.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…fb9ebacked Chicago White Sox | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 39.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 38.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.