MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77e2badba519e6416d84f28c13e90f16fff421f736745d03ddd76be156ef7c08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Chicago White Sox, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 7,687$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 5,139$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.41 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 3,380$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 3,059$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 1,978$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.7 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 1,304$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.29 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 840$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.4 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 755.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.82 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 742.15$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 710.26$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.21 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 699$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.68 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 625.52$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.46 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 518.72$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.42 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 502.86$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 491.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 457.63$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.63 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 408.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 370.51$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.01 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 367.86$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 364.51$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.35 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 343.97$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 319$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 288.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 268.06$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 225$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 220$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 203.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 185.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 185.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 180.75$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 142$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 132.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 107.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 90.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 63.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 61.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 57.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 53.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 50.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 49.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…e155backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 47.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 44.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Chicago White Sox | 32c | 32.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 29.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 25.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 22.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.