MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x295e2ced1e09047b696ac5fb72ee32c6f7083c6e9a8d382152fc5e6e9818650b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 50c | 90,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 42,575$22,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,263.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 39,403$19,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,701.2 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 13,040$6,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,515.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 50c | 5,333$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.66 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 2,987$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.84 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 1,923$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,722$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 51c | 1,506$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.2 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 34c | 1,097$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.47 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 50c | 1,093$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.64 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 910$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.9 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 521.01$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.34 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 51c | 501.87$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 51c | 478.86$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.9 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 52c | 471.31$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…bed6backed Under | 50c | 370.26$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 369.55$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 50c | 290$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…bdd5backed Under | 50c | 265.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 214.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 50c | 212.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 211.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 50c | 199.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 50c | 198.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 48c | 198$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 50c | 195$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 147.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Under | 37c | 124.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 109.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 40c | 106.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 33c | 104.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Over | 51c | 99.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 71c | 96.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 96.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Under | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 51c | 95.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 51c | 87.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 80.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 50c | 77.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 50c | 77.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d1bfbacked Over | 50c | 56.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Over | 57c | 52.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…e548backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 40c | 46.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 51c | 41.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 51c | 38.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 50c | 37.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 61c | 32.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb099…b313backed Over | 79c | 30.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Over | 51c | 30.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Over | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Over | 59c | 28.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 70c | 16.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.