South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29df5523be217c25e79c697886e89a17656b3cdbcd15152deb9236f4358e7b95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 6,725$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 18c | 4,621$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.84 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 59c | 3,816$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.71 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No | 21c | 2,941$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.38 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 2,802$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 26c | 1,553$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.33 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 31c | 1,016$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.75 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 912.82$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 46c | 581.48$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 50c | 514$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes | 53c | 409.59$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.83 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 16c | 321$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.64 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 67c | 302.55$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 49c | 302$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 67c | 283.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 16c | 282.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.06 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 40c | 278.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 50c | 217.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 48c | 208.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 49c | 205.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 50c | 200.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 50c | 192.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 79c | 161.49$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 52c | 158.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 117.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes | 78c | 102.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 22c | 100.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes | 77c | 98.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes | 77c | 85.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 57c | 73.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes | 77c | 71.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Yes | 77c | 69.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 47c | 69.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 48c | 67.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 74c | 55.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 78c | 52.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 54c | 51.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 65c | 51.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes | 51c | 48.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Yes | 37c | 46.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 30c | 41.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 75c | 40.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 67c | 35.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 49c | 24.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 52c | 21.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.