Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MVSK Secret vs :3 (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ad4f900faddbc48466daffd07830bf70939f93efd8ac56fdfe1f79b52a7b4e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MVSK Secretof MVSK Secret, :3
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed :3 | 62c | 1,157$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.4 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MVSK Secret | 43c | 565.8$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.83 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked :3 | 64c | 468.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed :3 | 47c | 418.59$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked :3 | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed MVSK Secret | 42c | 238.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked MVSK Secret | 42c | 217.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed :3 | 29c | 213.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked :3 | 9c | 205.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked MVSK Secret | 24c | 179.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MVSK Secret | 56c | 165.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MVSK Secret | 40c | 155.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x475f…82d7backed MVSK Secret | 66c | 153.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked :3 | 57c | 144.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed :3 | 58c | 135$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed :3 | 54c | 121.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked MVSK Secret | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed MVSK Secret | 35c | 112.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked MVSK Secret | 42c | 104.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MVSK Secret | 56c | 103.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed MVSK Secret | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed :3 | 58c | 57.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MVSK Secret | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed MVSK Secret | 35c | 45.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed MVSK Secret | 37c | 43.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed :3 | 62c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MVSK Secret | 39c | 41.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…dac8backed MVSK Secret | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…5022backed MVSK Secret | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…bff4backed :3 | 63c | 31.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed MVSK Secret | 42c | 30.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MVSK Secret | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…f9e2backed :3 | 55c | 27.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…d785backed MVSK Secret | 60c | 26.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed :3 | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed :3 | 62c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MVSK Secret | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MVSK Secret | 75c | 17.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MVSK Secret vs :3 (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: MVSK Secret vs :3 - Map 2 WinnerMVSK Secret won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.