Tennis · resolved market
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Murphy Cassone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b46c243c769d459de9f3f432d83ec656229928c8cb0ff22695cd22f236f8664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Molcanof Alex Molcan, Murphy Cassone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Murphy Cassone | 34c | 7,580$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.46 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Molcan | 66c | 6,192$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Molcan | 66c | 6,016$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.81 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Murphy Cassone | 35c | 5,423$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.9 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Molcan | 68c | 3,591$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Murphy Cassone | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Murphy Cassone | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Alex Molcan | 60c | 1,493$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.94 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Murphy Cassone | 9c | 1,333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Murphy Cassone | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Murphy Cassone | 10c | 1,050$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Murphy Cassone | 25c | 882.39$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.78 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Murphy Cassone | 38c | 881.07$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.23 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Murphy Cassone | 16c | 846.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Murphy Cassone | 32c | 698.66$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.57 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Murphy Cassone | 39c | 668.62$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.76 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Murphy Cassone | 7c | 657.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Murphy Cassone | 10c | 610.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Murphy Cassone | 31c | 575.32$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.35 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Molcan | 70c | 568.86$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Murphy Cassone | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Murphy Cassone | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Murphy Cassone | 37c | 461.05$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.59 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Murphy Cassone | 41c | 438.23$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.66 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alex Molcan | 78c | 433.12$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Alex Molcan | 63c | 402.62$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.17 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…a3c2backed Murphy Cassone | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Murphy Cassone | 36c | 369.81$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Murphy Cassone | 37c | 355.18$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Murphy Cassone | 37c | 352.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…2b0dbacked Murphy Cassone | 37c | 338.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Murphy Cassone | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Alex Molcan | 63c | 266.43$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Murphy Cassone | 18c | 260.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Murphy Cassone | 43c | 252.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 223 | 52%116 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Murphy Cassone | 38c | 219.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Murphy Cassone | 18c | 216.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Murphy Cassone | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Murphy Cassone | 37c | 198.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Murphy Cassone | 32c | 185$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Murphy Cassone | 40c | 180$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alex Molcan | 60c | 178.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…3eb0backed Alex Molcan | 63c | 173.22$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Alex Molcan | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…b19dbacked Alex Molcan | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Alex Molcan | 78c | 152$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…360cbacked Murphy Cassone | 20c | 148.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed Murphy Cassone | 20c | 132.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Murphy Cassone | 40c | 121.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Murphy Cassone | 17c | 116.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alex Molcan | 69c | 115.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Alex Molcan | 78c | 114$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…9826backed Murphy Cassone | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Murphy Cassone | 39c | 106$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Murphy Cassone | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Alex Molcan | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Molcan | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Murphy Cassone | 35c | 97.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Alex Molcan | 62c | 93.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Alex Molcan | 59c | 87.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Murphy Cassone | 33c | 77.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Alex Molcan | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Murphy Cassone | 37c | 75.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Alex Molcan | 62c | 72.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Alex Molcan | 65c | 72.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Murphy Cassone | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Alex Molcan | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Alex Molcan | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Alex Molcan | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Alex Molcan | 66c | 56.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Murphy Cassone | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Murphy Cassone | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Alex Molcan | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Alex Molcan | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Murphy Cassone | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Alex Molcan | 60c | 49.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Murphy Cassone | 32c | 46.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Alex Molcan | 63c | 45.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Alex Molcan | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…911dbacked Alex Molcan | 71c | 43.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 326 | 75.2%245 W · 81 L | +20.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Alex Molcan | 78c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Alex Molcan | 78c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Murphy Cassone | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…4831backed Alex Molcan | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Murphy Cassone | 40c | 31.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Alex Molcan | 68c | 31.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Murphy Cassone | 42c | 29.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Murphy Cassone | 44c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Alex Molcan | 66c | 20.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…93b2backed Alex Molcan | 63c | 19.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Alex Molcan | 68c | 17.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…ffb1backed Alex Molcan | 63c | 17.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Alex Molcan | 59c | 17.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Alex Molcan | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Alex Molcan | 72c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Murphy Cassonethis page
- Molcan vs. Cassone: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Molcan vs CassoneMolcan won
- Set 2 Winner: Molcan vs CassoneCassone won
- Set Handicap: Molcan (-1.5) vs Cassone (+1.5)Cassone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.