Champions League · resolved market
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-07-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3143b4e7395e1f8dcbcbf4bbb91df775e5178d8e1819d7cd16efc2afbe89337c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 57c | 5,445$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.57 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 48c | 2,499$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.37 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 2,476$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.32 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…c62cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,666$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 1,338$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.79 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 44c | 1,324$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.56 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 34c | 1,202$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.64 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 1,128$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.44 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 814.76$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.07 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 58c | 725.69$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.71 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 24c | 645.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.53 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 32c | 642.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.86 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 69c | 594.08$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.96 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked No | 35c | 503.93$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 57c | 491$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.13 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 31c | 434.78$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 42c | 417.04$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.14 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 40c | 379.15$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 378.96$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.32 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 17c | 338.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 55c | 336.07$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 307.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 305.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 305.34$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 24c | 233.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked No | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 43c | 187.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed No | 48c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 75c | 149.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Yes | 33c | 146.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…da75backed No | 34c | 139.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 62c | 139$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 55c | 138$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 57c | 133.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed Yes | 42c | 131.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked No | 36c | 124$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 59c | 118.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 122 | 19.7%24 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked No | 11c | 114.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 57c | 101.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 100.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 56c | 100.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 55c | 83.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 32c | 83.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed No | 41c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 50c | 80.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 59c | 79.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 57c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 33c | 76.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed No | 46c | 63.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 43c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed No | 39c | 48.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 57c | 41.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 47c | 40.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -14.3wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…09a8backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed No | 47c | 39.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 48c | 36.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 48c | 34.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 59c | 30.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 52c | 30.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed No | 43c | 29.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 54c | 27.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 61c | 18.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rīga FC win on 2026-07-14?this page
- Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-07-14?No won
- Will Rīga FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.