MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31f111fd44c4fda181352d5cdbb54c5a514251911918b1be4b7dd4a3d96437ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof LG Twins, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed LG Twins | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.19 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked KT Wiz | 60c | 1,661$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.56 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LG Twins | 18c | 1,214$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.02 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 25c | 843.71$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…2814backed KT Wiz | 60c | 715.87$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KT Wiz | 56c | 712.5$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.59 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked LG Twins | 39c | 605.24$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.04 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…cb3abacked LG Twins | 45c | 599.54$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed KT Wiz | 59c | 510$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…91afbacked LG Twins | 11c | 507.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KT Wiz | 63c | 506.91$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 40c | 438.4$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.36 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 58c | 325.04$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed LG Twins | 14c | 323$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LG Twins | 40c | 313$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed KT Wiz | 55c | 304.18$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LG Twins | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed KT Wiz | 56c | 275$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed LG Twins | 42c | 257.23$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed LG Twins | 43c | 235.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked LG Twins | 40c | 203.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed LG Twins | 41c | 193.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 11c | 186.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed KT Wiz | 56c | 182.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 20c | 176.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed LG Twins | 41c | 176$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 68c | 153.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed LG Twins | 27c | 151.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 56c | 141.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LG Twins | 41c | 141.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed LG Twins | 46c | 120.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 64c | 111.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…3288backed LG Twins | 18c | 103.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed KT Wiz | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed KT Wiz | 72c | 78.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 41c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed KT Wiz | 53c | 76.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked KT Wiz | 67c | 60.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed LG Twins | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LG Twins | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed KT Wiz | 59c | 52.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…8b6fbacked LG Twins | 30c | 52.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked LG Twins | 42c | 49.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked KT Wiz | 56c | 44.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed LG Twins | 47c | 41.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed LG Twins | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked KT Wiz | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 30.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed LG Twins | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed KT Wiz | 56c | 29.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed LG Twins | 43c | 27.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed LG Twins | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…a7f3backed KT Wiz | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…217cbacked LG Twins | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed KT Wiz | 79c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed KT Wiz | 58c | 23.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed KT Wiz | 62c | 22.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed KT Wiz | 56c | 21.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1d…2ef0backed KT Wiz | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8070…6a05backed LG Twins | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed KT Wiz | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked KT Wiz | 56c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed KT Wiz | 74c | 13.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.