Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Sam Houston Bearkats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x321909331559c7c9263be104915dc1ebcdee0215b435ab765889fbdefe15091d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sam Houston Bearkatsof Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, Sam Houston Bearkats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 79c | 5,200$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 24c | 3,939$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 64c | 3,163$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.79 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 74c | 3,092$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.52 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 75c | 2,465$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.65 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 67c | 2,435$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.97 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 36c | 2,048$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.14 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 34c | 1,597$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 27c | 1,444$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.09 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 65c | 1,098$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.19 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 20c | 936.94$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.62 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 27c | 888$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.51 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 21c | 855.46$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 67c | 846$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.66 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 36c | 836$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.31 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 65c | 770$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 66c | 726.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.89 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 22c | 711.11$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 37c | 529.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 32c | 515.53$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 35c | 449$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 16c | 434.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 33c | 302.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 35c | 251.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 67c | 235.78$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 32c | 209.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 34c | 206$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 36c | 182.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 24c | 175.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 30c | 148.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 35c | 136.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 17c | 123.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 65c | 103.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 35c | 93.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 19c | 85.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 38c | 84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 17c | 78.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 76c | 76.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 65c | 76.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 67c | 64.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 32c | 57.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 33c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 35c | 52.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 73c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 37c | 45.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 67c | 44.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 32c | 43.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 37c | 34.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsthis page
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Sam Houston Bearkats (-5.5)Sam Houston Bearkats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.