Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32b491a443369b52a76e3e5d29022db24e5f8c41f4e0194266ccb1686de11076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 64c | 566.64$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.89 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 64c | 343.04$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 33c | 327$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 33c | 243.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 69c | 199.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…e0d4backed Yes | 58c | 179.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…c5b9backed Yes | 72c | 161.66$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed Yes | 67c | 148.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 30c | 148.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 70c | 144.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 59c | 140.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 33c | 125.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 58c | 122.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 43c | 107.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 103.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 22c | 103.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 33c | 103.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked No | 32c | 101.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed No | 30c | 95.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 36c | 92.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 66c | 90.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 70c | 89.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 33c | 87.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 42c | 84.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 81.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 31c | 81.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 33c | 79.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 44c | 78.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 63c | 75.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…a6e4backed Yes | 65c | 70.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…f90bbacked Yes | 66c | 70.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 57c | 63.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 57c | 63.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 36c | 60.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 70c | 59.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 32c | 53.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 30c | 52.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 73c | 50.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…08d7backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…a03bbacked Yes | 70c | 49.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 31c | 49.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…dadbbacked No | 33c | 48.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed Yes | 66c | 46.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 30c | 44.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 38c | 43.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked Yes | 64c | 42.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed Yes | 54c | 41.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 31c | 38.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 58c | 37.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf287…40e1backed Yes | 67c | 37.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 30c | 36.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 32c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 31c | 35.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 36c | 34.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 31c | 34.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 57c | 33.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 76c | 31.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…4f19backed No | 44c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…415ebacked Yes | 69c | 29.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 422 | 53.1%224 W · 198 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 65c | 29.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 62c | 29.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fb…3caebacked Yes | 58c | 28.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…9b4ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…1e7bbacked Yes | 67c | 27.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 92 | 70.7%65 W · 27 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…64f6backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 49c | 24.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…41acbacked Yes | 65c | 22.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked Yes | 60c | 21.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 65c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed Yes | 66c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…2919backed Yes | 58c | 21.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…256ebacked Yes | 70c | 20.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 233 | 62.2%145 W · 88 L | +33.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…4edbbacked Yes | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…bde5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 68c | 15.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab8…a59fbacked Yes | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.