Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35bd7b8312806824e495bf3d143296ef657f374599231597a759f3e4bd5490b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 67c | 15,278$10,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,042.08 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION | 69c | 10,374$7,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.78 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 35c | 8,192$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.86 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ | 28c | 7,028$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.07 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 71c | 5,505$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.73 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed PARIVISION | 74c | 5,200$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed MOUZ | 34c | 4,761$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.29 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed MOUZ | 27c | 4,243$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.23 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 28c | 4,150$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 29c | 3,732$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.19 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 78c | 3,327$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.33 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked MOUZ | 1c | 3,246$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 76c | 3,199$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.77 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 30c | 3,160$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.31 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 77c | 2,840$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.39 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed MOUZ | 28c | 2,774$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.46 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 26c | 2,766$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.85 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 69c | 2,529$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.9 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed MOUZ | 24c | 2,399$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.45 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed MOUZ | 9c | 2,202$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ | 26c | 2,036$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.52 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 31c | 1,788$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.81 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MOUZ | 21c | 1,787$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.8 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,700$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ | 32c | 1,670$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.75 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 7c | 1,600$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked MOUZ | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,355$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.74 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,332$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 25c | 1,296$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.21 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,252$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.23 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 18c | 1,246$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,185$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.97 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 31c | 1,170$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.7 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,101$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.97 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 31c | 1,083$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.54 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 1,015$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.47 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…6730backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,005$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.61 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 61c | 997.29$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.88 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 75c | 985$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed MOUZ | 21c | 857$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed MOUZ | 29c | 825.34$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.35 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 817.99$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MOUZ | 20c | 780.78$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 30c | 777$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PARIVISION | 68c | 742.5$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed MOUZ | 34c | 713.92$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.46 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed MOUZ | 7c | 700.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 684.55$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.59 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed MOUZ | 8c | 666.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed MOUZ | 28c | 640.86$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.44 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed MOUZ | 10c | 546.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed PARIVISION | 75c | 525.33$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed MOUZ | 6c | 465.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed PARIVISION | 63c | 462.13$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 29c | 442.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 32c | 392.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed MOUZ | 29c | 372.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed MOUZ | 28c | 367.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ | 18c | 342.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed MOUZ | 9c | 328.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed MOUZ | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed MOUZ | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 65c | 299.1$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed MOUZ | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed PARIVISION | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed MOUZ | 7c | 275.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 180 | 42.8%77 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked MOUZ | 29c | 268.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 251.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…71dfbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 27c | 250$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 68c | 248.59$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed PARIVISION | 75c | 246.81$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed MOUZ | 34c | 242.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed PARIVISION | 68c | 239.87$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked MOUZ | 32c | 239.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed MOUZ | 30c | 231.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 32c | 224.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed MOUZ | 31c | 216.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MOUZ | 28c | 211.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed PARIVISION | 72c | 206.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 29c | 198.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 70c | 169.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed PARIVISION | 75c | 168.29$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed PARIVISION | 66c | 167.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 166.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked MOUZ | 29c | 148.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…32bebacked MOUZ | 26c | 139.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed PARIVISION | 72c | 136.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 135.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked PARIVISION | 76c | 134.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…08fbbacked MOUZ | 23c | 127.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed PARIVISION | 76c | 125.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.