Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb70e9e163122a372bd43a15c01b385a9ebddf2d47e315a124afaea0f820abdc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 71c | 18,403$13,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,398.94 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 70c | 10,514$7,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.34 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ | 24c | 9,320$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.93 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked MOUZ | 29c | 8,456$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.15 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION | 71c | 6,302$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.95 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 29c | 5,771$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.96 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ | 31c | 4,580$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.88 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed MOUZ | 28c | 4,405$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.38 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 73c | 4,301$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.69 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 72c | 4,105$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.05 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 30c | 3,962$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.45 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ | 29c | 3,905$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.82 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed PARIVISION | 79c | 3,819$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 72c | 3,333$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.11 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 28c | 2,900$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 75c | 2,849$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.98 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 2,716$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.1 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 74c | 2,468$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.97 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked MOUZ | 23c | 2,457$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.39 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked PARIVISION | 72c | 2,437$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.04 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 27c | 1,945$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.65 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,729$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.69 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked MOUZ | 29c | 1,713$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.65 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,674$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.83 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,655$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.4 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,593$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.08 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,560$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.34 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ | 31c | 1,555$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.25 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked MOUZ | 25c | 1,524$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.08 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,512$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.31 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,488$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.9 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked MOUZ | 30c | 1,468$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.3 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,403$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.46 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked MOUZ | 24c | 1,401$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.85 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 1,085$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.72 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION | 72c | 993.1$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked MOUZ | 23c | 959.77$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.06 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 27c | 957.44$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.38 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 24c | 847.66$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.58 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 74c | 843.33$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.06 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed MOUZ | 35c | 808.7$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.56 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MOUZ | 31c | 799.66$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.11 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 766.52$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 5c | 753.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PARIVISION | 68c | 733.98$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.01 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…6730backed PARIVISION | 71c | 730.79$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.94 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 27c | 728.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 33c | 719.85$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.55 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked PARIVISION | 72c | 682.78$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.18 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed MOUZ | 27c | 647.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked MOUZ | 28c | 624.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.65 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…2aa9backed PARIVISION | 69c | 588.84$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…b7e5backed MOUZ | 30c | 580.56$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked PARIVISION | 73c | 552.57$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.19 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed MOUZ | 28c | 501.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.38 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 29c | 478.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 26c | 472.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed MOUZ | 31c | 454.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed MOUZ | 25c | 447.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed PARIVISION | 66c | 445.72$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed MOUZ | 33c | 436.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed PARIVISION | 70c | 406.1$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.83 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 28c | 402.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 390$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PARIVISION | 79c | 388.09$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 28c | 382.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed MOUZ | 20c | 380.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 348.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfd…cd33backed MOUZ | 32c | 346.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 30c | 344.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed MOUZ | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MOUZ | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 71c | 306.66$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed PARIVISION | 71c | 291.7$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked PARIVISION | 70c | 287.87$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed PARIVISION | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked MOUZ | 29c | 247.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ | 25c | 241.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed MOUZ | 31c | 221.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…25afbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 217.79$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed MOUZ | 27c | 216.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed MOUZ | 32c | 210.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed MOUZ | 27c | 204.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked MOUZ | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 29c | 196.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked MOUZ | 28c | 181.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 70c | 179.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed MOUZ | 27c | 178.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 71c | 169.47$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 31c | 160.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ | 22c | 159.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed PARIVISION | 73c | 157.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed MOUZ | 29c | 154.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked MOUZ | 30c | 151.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MOUZ | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed MOUZ | 20c | 146$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked PARIVISION | 73c | 141.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed PARIVISION | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.