TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Indiana State Sycamores

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Northern Iowa Panthersof Northern Iowa Panthers, Indiana State Sycamores
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers68c2,509$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.031,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers75c2,245$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.91,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Indiana State Sycamores35c1,190$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.671,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Iowa Panthers66c1,140$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.423,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Indiana State Sycamores34c928.1$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Northern Iowa Panthers67c735$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.361,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Northern Iowa Panthers68c718$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.511,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Northern Iowa Panthers67c613.62$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.141,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Indiana State Sycamores34c581.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7810846.3%50 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Indiana State Sycamores31c480.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7870936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Indiana State Sycamores21c388.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.862,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Indiana State Sycamores33c383.61$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Northern Iowa Panthers66c359.9$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.148937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Northern Iowa Panthers67c329.68$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9437947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Indiana State Sycamores33c318.46$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10550745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Indiana State Sycamores33c299.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Indiana State Sycamores32c285.81$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.595,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Northern Iowa Panthers67c273.24$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Northern Iowa Panthers62c253$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.899848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northern Iowa Panthers66c247.09$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.032,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Northern Iowa Panthers68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Indiana State Sycamores33c199.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Indiana State Sycamores33c196.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Indiana State Sycamores32c194.42$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.585,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Northern Iowa Panthers68c175.62$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.43,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers68c157.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3535646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Indiana State Sycamores14c149.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2825337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Northern Iowa Panthers67c145.9$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1530649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Indiana State Sycamores32c140$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.843053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Indiana State Sycamores33c136.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7742339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana State Sycamores29c130.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.381,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe86d…c9eebacked Northern Iowa Panthers68c123.71$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.593473.5%25 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana State Sycamores39c111.87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.74,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Northern Iowa Panthers67c103$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9991848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Northern Iowa Panthers68c101.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.292,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Indiana State Sycamores30c100.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2193941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Indiana State Sycamores33c95.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6310652.8%56 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Indiana State Sycamores16c95.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.451,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Indiana State Sycamores43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Northern Iowa Panthers68c84.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0623363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Indiana State Sycamores33c76.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3816546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7447…1480backed Indiana State Sycamores34c74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.161225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Indiana State Sycamores33c71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4361244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Indiana State Sycamores33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.19035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Indiana State Sycamores29c66.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3470349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Northern Iowa Panthers71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Northern Iowa Panthers67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Northern Iowa Panthers68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.112748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.823339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Indiana State Sycamores32c54.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Northern Iowa Panthers65c50.24$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.348641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Indiana State Sycamores43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1239050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Indiana State Sycamores33c43.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52540%10 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Indiana State Sycamores32c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4437835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Northern Iowa Panthers69c41.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.795646.4%26 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Northern Iowa Panthers72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0730945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Northern Iowa Panthers67c39.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.921,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northern Iowa Panthers71c35.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.351,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Northern Iowa Panthers61c32.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7534943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x850f…039fbacked Northern Iowa Panthers68c22.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Northern Iowa Panthers70c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.318557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Northern Iowa Panthers66c20.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.114171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98df…41b7backed Northern Iowa Panthers53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.44452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers74c19.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers69c17.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba8…8d3cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.