Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37510e575e7a5253803d851da44aacbce0e477d9a5c44705d55a3caeb09661ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 7,135$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.36 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 3,012$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.66 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 2,894$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.37 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Yakult Brothers | 14c | 2,615$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.05 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 1,600$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.77 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 994$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 887.62$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…29e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 885.09$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.65 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 802.87$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.22 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 715.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 705.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yakult Brothers | 11c | 702.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 622.59$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Yakult Brothers | 61c | 571.89$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.48 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 561.54$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yakult Brothers | 30c | 552.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.17 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 311.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yakult Brothers | 60c | 309.67$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.89 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 263.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 230$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 220$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 215.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 213.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yakult Brothers | 20c | 210.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yakult Brothers | 9c | 208$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Yakult Brothers | 11c | 199.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 196.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yakult Brothers | 9c | 183$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 178.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 176.07$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 174.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 172.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yakult Brothers | 21c | 160.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 160.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 159.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 158.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yakult Brothers | 9c | 153$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…6407backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 136.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 135.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 129.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Yakult Brothers | 9c | 116.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 115.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 107.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yakult Brothers | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 97.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Yakult Brothers | 19c | 94.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 89.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Yakult Brothers | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 72.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 70.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 67.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 61.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 59.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yakult Brothers | 21c | 58.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 52.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 50.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 49.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 39.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 31.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 29.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 26.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…1f86backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 17.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…cf1abacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 15.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 304 | 58.6%178 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China PlayoffsXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.