TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kits Esportsof Kits Esports, SDM Tigres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,093 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kits Esports32c2,958$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.551,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked SDM Tigres63c2,444$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.438036.3%29 W · 51 L-13.6wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-37.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Kits Esports35c1,393$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.261,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked SDM Tigres51c1,310$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.82,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Kits Esports31c1,185$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.355837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Kits Esports31c1,100$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75928240.8%115 W · 167 L-16.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6455…2604backed Kits Esports42c1,080$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.5718061.7%111 W · 69 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked SDM Tigres68c1,039$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.3110855.6%60 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Kits Esports40c910.86$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.581,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Kits Esports46c884.1$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.631,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked SDM Tigres7c850$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019838.9%77 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed SDM Tigres7c849.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020040.5%81 W · 119 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kits Esports36c789.82$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.668838.6%34 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Kits Esports39c734.99$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.111,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Kits Esports58c708.21$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.2997854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed SDM Tigres8c700$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5658042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked SDM Tigres5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30660%0 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed SDM Tigres5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30601.7%1 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked SDM Tigres5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30712.8%2 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Kits Esports70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed SDM Tigres8c590$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.118638.7%72 W · 114 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kits Esports55c584$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.182,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10c0…4dcabacked SDM Tigres9c561.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.962958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Kits Esports36c520.32$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.711,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed SDM Tigres68c520.19$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.7379745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked SDM Tigres12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019637.8%74 W · 122 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed SDM Tigres69c498.46$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.943154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Kits Esports56c494$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3622146.6%103 W · 118 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Kits Esports38c491.23$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.191,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Kits Esports64c488.53$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9882836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked SDM Tigres67c455$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8511943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked SDM Tigres68c443.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1929738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked SDM Tigres49c441.1$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1540641.9%170 W · 236 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked SDM Tigres54c416$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.644250%21 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked SDM Tigres68c415$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.27742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed SDM Tigres5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020842.3%88 W · 120 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed SDM Tigres9c400$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3419846%91 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2973…ef36backed SDM Tigres9c400$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f95…bf8ebacked SDM Tigres9c400$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3414642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed SDM Tigres68c362$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.169234.8%32 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Kits Esports43c350$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5839447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed SDM Tigres61c338.48$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.873240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Kits Esports76c326$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5639162.7%245 W · 146 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed SDM Tigres63c324.3$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.198839.8%35 W · 53 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked SDM Tigres51c311.73$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4940143.9%176 W · 225 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f09…38c3backed Kits Esports32c310.16$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.91450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+92.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked SDM Tigres71c300$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21460243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Kits Esports30c299.69$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9713137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SDM Tigres61c299.61$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.562,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf120…ce3cbacked SDM Tigres70c287.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kits Esports77c280$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.625540.8%104 W · 151 L-26.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed SDM Tigres50c274.78$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2963426%165 W · 469 L-90.0wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked SDM Tigres9c267$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.211,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed SDM Tigres69c259.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1539951.1%204 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fe…5cbfbacked SDM Tigres69c251$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.196628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kits Esports47c245$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3612430.6%38 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked SDM Tigres68c230.22$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.783948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed SDM Tigres69c229$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0123332.6%76 W · 157 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Kits Esports60c220.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked SDM Tigres51c217.39$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8713639.7%54 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed SDM Tigres62c215.58$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6641133.8%139 W · 272 L-28.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked SDM Tigres67c213.43$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1433125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked SDM Tigres9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1877741.7%324 W · 453 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5abe…d360backed SDM Tigres12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416747.3%79 W · 88 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed SDM Tigres62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12462649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed SDM Tigres68c197$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.967847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Kits Esports31c195.93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2134448.3%166 W · 178 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Kits Esports43c186.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0580832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8a7…7674backed SDM Tigres30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed SDM Tigres38c154.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.231,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Kits Esports55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.594144.6%420 W · 521 L-2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SDM Tigres43c139.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4494444.4%419 W · 525 L-31.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed SDM Tigres69c127.56$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2141469.3%287 W · 127 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa533…755fbacked SDM Tigres69c124.79$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.035831%18 W · 40 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed SDM Tigres69c122.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1338555.1%212 W · 173 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed SDM Tigres58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.674637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db5…d13cbacked Kits Esports67c119.07$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.071060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Kits Esports47c112.63$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.892,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed SDM Tigres42c112.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.216737.7%63 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kits Esports50c102.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1185849.5%425 W · 433 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed SDM Tigres48c100.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.471,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed SDM Tigres68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6837650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kits Esports56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.271,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed SDM Tigres71c99.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.991,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked SDM Tigres61c99.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.999244.6%41 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed SDM Tigres58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.495234.6%18 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed SDM Tigres68c98.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.4wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+63.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked SDM Tigres69c97.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0327356.8%155 W · 118 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed SDM Tigres51c96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9629038.6%112 W · 178 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Kits Esports54c95.55$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Kits Esports51c90.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9114655.5%81 W · 65 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked SDM Tigres61c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.917632.4%57 W · 119 L-15.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41bb…1999backed Kits Esports39c89.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.571136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked SDM Tigres56c89.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506544.6%29 W · 36 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Kits Esports68c88.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.372,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b9…ad06backed Kits Esports43c87.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.849855.1%54 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed SDM Tigres48c83.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4092342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked SDM Tigres67c82.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9637343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8c…500abacked Kits Esports34c80.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked SDM Tigres44c79.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.931,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.