Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x379e9257ad2fad8f9589b74cecedd374bee4b0d25005184c05d858e4e1f404f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,160 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 7,109$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.3 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 4,373$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.59 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 4,197$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.75 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 67c | 2,627$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 38c | 1,532$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 33c | 1,490$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.01 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 1,046$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.02 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 913.89$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.01 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 32c | 567.46$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.88 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 496.07$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 371.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.86 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 295.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Under | 36c | 268$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 64c | 215.74$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 214.36$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 39c | 198.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 61c | 166.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 49c | 163.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Over | 33c | 157.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 66c | 152.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 125.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 65c | 116.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 56c | 112.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 107.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 48c | 105.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…cbdbbacked Under | 40c | 99.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 34c | 82.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 46c | 76.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…f76cbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 36c | 74.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b6…2be5backed Over | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 34c | 48.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 43c | 48.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 41.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 62c | 38.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…2650backed Over | 66c | 33.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 68c | 32.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Under | 36c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 33c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 21.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…6031backed Under | 56c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.