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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-08-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b62…5cc8backed No77c12,500$9,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,661.62166.7%14 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes54c8,071$4,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,712.939738.1%37 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes50c6,010$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,016.5618037.8%68 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No78c6,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,68023736.7%87 W · 150 L-14.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed No1c4,561$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.73839.5%15 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes23c4,437$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,436.677248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb78…f224backed No11c3,636$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No59c3,415$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.4983845%377 W · 461 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No51c3,357$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.59346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+134.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x693a…1417backed No11c3,182$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…2ee6backed No11c3,182$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes23c3,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.9772550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d8…6eacbacked No14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked No11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfedf…60f1backed No9c2,504$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c2,347$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.591,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc336…1296backed No13c2,340$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes26c2,310$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.7320440.7%83 W · 121 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes23c2,173$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.2147244.9%212 W · 260 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb89a…5f21backed No14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34dd…0ce8backed No14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c1,974$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.341,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…abb2backed Yes74c1,831$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5264…7eb9backed No11c1,591$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes23c1,522$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.741827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.867817.9%14 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb0…9fdbbacked No11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes43c1,344$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.243745.9%17 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No53c1,326$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.043865.8%25 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+61.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No59c1,295$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.9921351.6%110 W · 103 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a4a…3da9backed No77c1,248$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes22c1,141$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.72,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x550e…9423backed No11c1,137$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No65c874.77$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.566442.2%27 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes23c864$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.6341442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes41c853.02$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.455056%28 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes22c750$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58525248.8%123 W · 129 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked No14c690.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-56%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No67c608.02$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.768944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes32c594.03$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.983834.2%13 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick23cpaid+73.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No56c590.54$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1140844.4%181 W · 227 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No55c516.16$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2153747.9%257 W · 280 L-1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes23c486$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.2222644.2%100 W · 126 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No54c478.19$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.939051.1%46 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No20c456.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.278336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c454.83$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.212,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No43c453.96$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.24431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No74c425.43$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.927035.7%25 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes52c412.04$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.447932.9%26 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No53c367.04$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19320646.1%95 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6214…c4a0backed No14c346.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.56520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad2…790cbacked No77c311.69$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes24c301.9$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.441,10445.4%501 W · 603 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No67c276.03$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7520543.9%90 W · 115 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a00…59e2backed No77c249.53$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.231241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick69cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e87…e4e7backed No16c246.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes65c244.96$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.793125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-57.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes23c226$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9734449.1%169 W · 175 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No77c221.51$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5617252.9%91 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No71c212$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7854353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes23c210.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.432,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd494…bfafbacked No15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No17c173.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.732832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No55c173$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.322948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes23c145.27$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.581,04148%500 W · 541 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd682…2c16backed Yes57c135.66$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+179.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Yes25c132$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.06450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+87.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No73c129.9$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8312351.2%63 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No78c124.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.049657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No49c118.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.715152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes22c110.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.211,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6728…a070backed No77c103.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd441…87febacked No26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b9…60c6backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No79c96.57$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.836939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes23c95.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.111049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No55c90.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5518642.5%79 W · 107 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes24c89.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6963649.5%315 W · 321 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No32c84.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.672646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes52c83.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1234754.8%190 W · 157 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No71c66.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.351,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Yes24c66.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.536454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010766.4%71 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked No77c62.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked No44c62.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2f…2586backed No77c62.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a1…f80fbacked Yes29c61.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+76.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Yes33c60.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.591250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes23c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.521848.6%106 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No78c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.825141%103 W · 148 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed No43c59.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No77c58.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes22c57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2841343.3%179 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked No39c56.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ef…34cabacked No77c55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No31c53.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.642556%14 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed No39c52.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes24c49.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9916033.8%54 W · 106 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c47.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.121,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed No77c47.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4815345.1%69 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.