Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3907f796bccbed05d707d5e9cf5f8fc6bff632391693482c76b3e0883f9bab49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 71c | 729.44$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 47c | 630.38$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.93 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 66c | 465.73$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…2e64backed No | 63c | 254.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 34c | 222.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 69c | 186.44$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 32c | 185.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 37c | 181.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 164.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 58c | 163.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 56c | 157.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 157.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 148.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…2406backed No | 57c | 142.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 15c | 123.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 116.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 32c | 102.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 53c | 98.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 34c | 96.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 94.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 56c | 90.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…95cfbacked Yes | 48c | 86.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 46c | 86.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 36c | 81.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 46c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 30c | 80.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed No | 61c | 80.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 52c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 52c | 71.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 51c | 70.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 69.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 69.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 43c | 67.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 49c | 67.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 43c | 66.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…c118backed Yes | 49c | 59.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 65c | 59.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 42c | 53.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 48c | 48.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 57c | 44.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 26c | 41.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 38.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 40c | 37.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 66c | 35.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 43c | 34.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 33.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa127…4e1fbacked Yes | 35c | 32.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 49c | 30.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d7…9f0cbacked No | 52c | 30.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3c3abacked Yes | 50c | 29.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5604…912bbacked Yes | 56c | 27.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…bd47backed No | 59c | 27.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…6acfbacked No | 53c | 26.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 50c | 26.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 64c | 26.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe55…516ebacked Yes | 42c | 24.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 57c | 23.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes | 54c | 23.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 60c | 22.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed No | 68c | 20.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 66c | 19.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…ab78backed No | 65c | 15.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.