Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe66b8a9b50ac8ef8db2205fb7b2be37ee7e9709f5657a533d3f99d4a15ca91c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 50c | 685.91$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.96 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 45c | 257.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 50c | 243.02$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 69c | 221.66$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6901…cb49backed No | 6c | 205.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 35c | 197.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 42c | 176$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 169.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 67c | 161.44$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 54c | 157.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 54c | 153.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -11.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 60c | 138.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 134.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 17c | 134.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 122.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 107.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 93.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 91.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 41c | 77.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 64c | 76.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 44c | 75.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 54c | 74.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…adbebacked Yes | 55c | 72.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 53c | 67.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 55c | 65.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 46c | 65.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 37c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…2d49backed No | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked Yes | 59c | 61.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 55c | 59.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 70c | 58.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 50c | 55.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 53c | 54.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 54.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 44c | 52.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…b755backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 40c | 49.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 49.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…52a1backed Yes | 73c | 45.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa127…4e1fbacked Yes | 54c | 44.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 30c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 57c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 35c | 40.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 68c | 40.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…8652backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 75c | 34.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…f565backed Yes | 46c | 34.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 47c | 33.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 71c | 32.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 30.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 53c | 30.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…0a7dbacked Yes | 49c | 29.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 51c | 29.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…9a52backed Yes | 72c | 27.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 50c | 27.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 45c | 26.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 72c | 25.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…a047backed Yes | 71c | 24.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…8ca0backed Yes | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…3b38backed No | 64c | 18.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 124 | 73.4%91 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…4614backed Yes | 72c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.