TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Guido Justo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diego Dedura-Palomeroof Diego Dedura-Palomero, Guido Justo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef53…4591backed Guido Justo22c11,489$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50017543.4%76 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero65c9,179$5,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.88666.3%57 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Guido Justo35c7,281$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548.1927148%130 W · 141 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Diego Dedura-Palomero78c1,790$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.718,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Diego Dedura-Palomero71c1,372$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.778,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Guido Justo32c1,000$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32525144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Diego Dedura-Palomero77c935.4$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.273,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Diego Dedura-Palomero63c665.83$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.361,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Guido Justo35c599.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.997,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Guido Justo37c568.95$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.514,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Guido Justo16c500.15$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.498,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…4c29backed Guido Justo34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708326.5%22 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Guido Justo37c481.13$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0224637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Diego Dedura-Palomero77c417.85$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.274,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Guido Justo24c379.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1638141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero67c370.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.516,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Guido Justo41c366.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Diego Dedura-Palomero59c330$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.336640.7%149 W · 217 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Diego Dedura-Palomero61c327.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6126853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Guido Justo39c240$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.61,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b92…4f18backed Diego Dedura-Palomero64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.382875%21 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Guido Justo7c228.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.061,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Guido Justo36c228$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.087,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6f…b34fbacked Guido Justo10c193.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.991816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Diego Dedura-Palomero79c187.03$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.761,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero63c187$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1961152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Guido Justo12c171.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0672147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Diego Dedura-Palomero64c156$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1630746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Guido Justo36c135.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.842,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f06…8ebebacked Guido Justo37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020553.7%110 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Guido Justo40c123.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Guido Justo36c123.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.592,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Guido Justo18c110.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.182,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero64c109.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3826253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Guido Justo39c101.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.242,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Guido Justo35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero64c92.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1427653.6%148 W · 128 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Diego Dedura-Palomero64c91.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.927254.4%148 W · 124 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd1…f311backed Diego Dedura-Palomero62c88.06$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0625551%130 W · 125 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Guido Justo29c82.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.041,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Guido Justo40c80.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.473,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Guido Justo20c79.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.943618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Guido Justo36c71.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6522547.1%106 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Diego Dedura-Palomero60c68.09$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.22,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Guido Justo16c68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.671,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Guido Justo31c66.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero78c54.71$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.141,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Guido Justo38c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.142,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Guido Justo22c51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0454141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Guido Justo36c44.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.171,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero63c44.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.667848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Guido Justo37c43.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1626734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Diego Dedura-Palomero63c42.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.955941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Guido Justo30c41.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3536545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Diego Dedura-Palomero63c40.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.111,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ee…794dbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero64c37.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.537356.2%41 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Guido Justo36c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.089239.1%36 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Diego Dedura-Palomero70c35.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.582,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361f…544dbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero62c32.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.01887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+63.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Guido Justo36c31.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.481,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9575…cd83backed Diego Dedura-Palomero64c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1622046.8%103 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Guido Justo39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.854746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.291,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Diego Dedura-Palomero72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.351,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Guido Justo40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222230.6%68 W · 154 L-25.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero60c28.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3158665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Diego Dedura-Palomero63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2517242.4%73 W · 99 L-17.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Diego Dedura-Palomero68c24.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8176355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Diego Dedura-Palomero61c23.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.13,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4daa…9f01backed Diego Dedura-Palomero75c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.817463.5%47 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e79…22e3backed Diego Dedura-Palomero70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4311756.4%66 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ae…ffb1backed Diego Dedura-Palomero65c21.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3811261.6%69 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda22…f431backed Diego Dedura-Palomero73c17.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.783148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero63c16.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e5…2300backed Diego Dedura-Palomero67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.955589.1%49 W · 6 L+9.3wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+23.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero68c14.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.748461.9%52 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.