Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Indiana State Sycamores
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3985012dae74f1a362125a56401a4a31604f95aadc29c5117ea1f52a430470ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valparaiso Beaconsof Valparaiso Beacons, Indiana State Sycamores
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 57c | 1,830$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.34 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 44c | 1,660$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Indiana State Sycamores | 45c | 1,225$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Valparaiso Beacons | 44c | 1,146$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.48 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 25c | 797.74$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.23 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 56c | 650$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Indiana State Sycamores | 11c | 571.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Indiana State Sycamores | 45c | 552.39$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.65 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 44c | 549.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 56c | 511.18$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 61c | 497$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Indiana State Sycamores | 63c | 373.7$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.83 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Indiana State Sycamores | 57c | 287.72$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 21c | 243.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Valparaiso Beacons | 44c | 234.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Valparaiso Beacons | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Indiana State Sycamores | 14c | 186.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Valparaiso Beacons | 35c | 178.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…3189backed Indiana State Sycamores | 26c | 154.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Indiana State Sycamores | 43c | 146.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Valparaiso Beacons | 56c | 136.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Indiana State Sycamores | 17c | 111.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana State Sycamores | 52c | 101.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Indiana State Sycamores | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Indiana State Sycamores | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…178abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 63c | 63.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…4da7backed Indiana State Sycamores | 64c | 62.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Indiana State Sycamores | 70c | 59.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Indiana State Sycamores | 62c | 58.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Indiana State Sycamores | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Indiana State Sycamores | 72c | 49.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Indiana State Sycamores | 60c | 41.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Indiana State Sycamores | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Indiana State Sycamores | 62c | 39.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Indiana State Sycamores | 58c | 39.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f3…2ce8backed Valparaiso Beacons | 78c | 36.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Valparaiso Beacons | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Indiana State Sycamores | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 42c | 33.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Indiana State Sycamores | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Valparaiso Beacons | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valparaiso Beacons vs. Indiana State Sycamoresthis page
- Spread: Indiana State Sycamores (-2.5)Valparaiso Beacons won
- Valparaiso Beacons vs. Indiana State Sycamores: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.