South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b60a56d355b25b487f6f16eb90fa865034019fe9709b99c95de08a73868f956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 2,421$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.33 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed No | 74c | 2,374$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 1,706$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.53 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 34c | 589.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 401.84$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 340.46$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 72c | 239.67$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 64c | 207.17$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 204.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 43c | 182$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked No | 57c | 182$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 28c | 171.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 66c | 168.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 48c | 129.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed No | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 52c | 99.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 79c | 87.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 71c | 85.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 84.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 73.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yes | 46c | 65.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…6eb7backed Yes | 48c | 64.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 73c | 62.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 25c | 61.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 65c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 69c | 57.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 50.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 40.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Yes | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked No | 74c | 30.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Yes | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 66c | 20.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-21?No won
- Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.