TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,003 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed Over5c15,555$700 inLost-$699.9832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over4c10,000$400 inLost-$40013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over4c3,898$161 inLost-$161.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over6c3,182$198 inLost-$197.8943139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over2c3,116$64 inLost-$63.8638333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over1c2,674$30 inLost-$30.171,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over5c2,275$119 inLost-$11918626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Over6c1,676$100 inLost-$10019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over5c1,322$60 inLost-$59.513920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over2c1,283$26 inLost-$25.662,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over4c1,239$52 inLost-$52.2178317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Over4c1,124$50 inLost-$50.432623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over5c1,013$50 inLost-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60a…5747backed Over4c680.32$30 inLost-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-73.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f7…c971backed Over4c600$26 inLost-$26.35340%0 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over4c541.18$20 inLost-$20.1477433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over4c499.99$19 inLost-$19.514829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over4c443.96$19 inLost-$19.0951315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over5c430.96$21 inLost-$2143819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Over5c400$19 inLost-$18.69830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c0…f73abacked Over4c349.53$15 inLost-$1511437.7%43 W · 71 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.