Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e8012f50673b520ea29db3b4e477eccdcc2db30da14a769e9326a9f8396ebf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 69c | 2,529$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.06 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 2,250$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.89 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 31c | 2,121$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.51 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Over | 31c | 1,205$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.19 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…e4cabacked Over | 32c | 1,160$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Under | 69c | 912.34$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.83 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 18c | 879$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.91 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 6c | 748$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 16c | 594.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 76c | 549.52$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 51c | 503.14$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 69c | 499.97$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 14c | 468.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 14c | 442.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 55c | 276.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 70c | 242.09$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Over | 67c | 221.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 16c | 211.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 24c | 181.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 70c | 179.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 67c | 168.61$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 17c | 162.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1859backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed Over | 33c | 154.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 18c | 140.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 12c | 139$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over | 31c | 138.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…dd85backed Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…0a65backed Over | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 12c | 122$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 110.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…f16dbacked Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…7590backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b4…b766backed Over | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 31c | 77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 26c | 74.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x978a…202ebacked Over | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…181dbacked Under | 79c | 63.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…a3fdbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 25c | 61.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 35c | 54.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 165 | 56.4%93 W · 72 L | -17.5wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…43d7backed Over | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 38c | 31.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…2964backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 76c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Canada won
- Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Canada won
- Spread: Switzerland (-5.5)Canada won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.