TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,971 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Under59c2,703$1,595 inLost-$1,594.5753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over42c1,559$656 inWon+$903.292,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Under65c772.92$500 inLost-$50015455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over54c622.82$334 inWon+$288.444,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over41c549.56$225 inWon+$324.2427255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under60c275.98$165 inLost-$165.272,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over44c246$108 inWon+$137.941,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over57c233.27$132 inWon+$1012,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under31c200.77$63 inLost-$62.8136350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over41c200$82 inWon+$11860752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fff…89e9backed Over37c199.99$74 inWon+$1267350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over41c170.73$70 inWon+$100.7314260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over41c155.85$64 inWon+$91.9587837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under27c132.56$36 inLost-$36.171,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb460…6e64backed Over76c130.85$100 inWon+$30.859357%53 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x539d…0213backed Over41c125$51 inWon+$73.752744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over41c121.95$50 inWon+$71.9513158.8%77 W · 54 L+26.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Over43c114.58$49 inWon+$65.317149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over41c97.56$40 inWon+$57.569862.2%61 W · 37 L+20.5wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over41c94.54$39 inWon+$55.7887651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under58c75.19$44 inLost-$43.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over40c64.25$26 inWon+$38.553,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over40c34.97$14 inWon+$20.871,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b30…2209backed Over40c31$12 inWon+$18.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over71c24$17 inWon+$6.961,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over71c24$17 inWon+$6.9687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.