TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,759 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over10c8,585$858 inLost-$858.468723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over10c3,000$300 inLost-$30015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ea…c59dbacked Over10c2,100$210 inLost-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over9c2,000$180 inLost-$18045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over9c1,219$110 inLost-$109.682,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa540…f057backed Over10c1,147$110 inLost-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Over10c1,040$104 inLost-$10411316.8%19 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over4c900$39 inLost-$3927028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over9c798.69$72 inLost-$71.883,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over11c581.82$64 inLost-$6432922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over10c551.2$55 inLost-$55.1212343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over9c500$45 inLost-$4595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over9c444.35$40 inLost-$40.356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over11c333$37 inLost-$36.6320149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over10c200$20 inLost-$207122.5%16 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x995e…1909backed Over9c166.67$15 inLost-$152268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over9c123.28$11 inLost-$11.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.