Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Canada (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08066a5786c698c6de3541a9dd372b35798a6b330477ab52fbf3dcadae5578bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Switzerlandof Canada, Switzerland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Canada | 12c | 59,350$7,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,121.96 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Canada | 10c | 32,407$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.62 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Canada | 8c | 30,326$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.89 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Canada | 11c | 25,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.05 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a2…353abacked Canada | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canada | 8c | 5,905$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Canada | 12c | 4,269$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Canada | 11c | 3,542$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.59 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…57acbacked Canada | 11c | 3,068$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Canada | 10c | 2,894$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.23 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3c01backed Canada | 11c | 2,812$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.27 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed Canada | 12c | 2,250$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Canada | 12c | 1,670$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 154 | 18.8%29 W · 125 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Canada | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Canada | 12c | 1,603$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Canada | 12c | 1,577$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.19 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Canada | 11c | 1,106$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Canada | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canada | 13c | 940.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Canada | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Canada | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Canada | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…1504backed Canada | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Canada | 12c | 690.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Canada | 12c | 557$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Canada | 8c | 525.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…ec52backed Canada | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Canada | 11c | 485.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…b454backed Canada | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Canada | 4c | 369.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Canada | 10c | 318.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Canada | 11c | 298$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 257 | 41.6%107 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Canada | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Canada | 10c | 224.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Canada | 11c | 221.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Canada | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 33.5%60 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Canada | 11c | 208.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…bbeabacked Canada | 12c | 204.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Canada | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 106 | 14.2%15 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0840…f4d9backed Canada | 8c | 183.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Canada | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4758…d58bbacked Canada | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…0a77backed Canada | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…2cdfbacked Canada | 12c | 139.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Canada | 12c | 138.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…b157backed Canada | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Canada | 10c | 126.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa2…9c82backed Canada | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Canada | 11c | 119.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa798…d0babacked Canada | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed Canada | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…2ac8backed Canada | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Canada won
- Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Canada won
- Spread: Switzerland (-5.5)Canada won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.